Earnings growth are a function of economic growth; the US Economy is de-coupled from the rest of the world, which economy is poor. The danger of deficits (that are funding our economic growth); SOTU Preview: "The economy is great." Market continues trading in a very tight range, but ever upward; this is when complacency sets in. The market is setting up for correction as the election draws nearer. Are we in a bubble or the market top; how to justify valuations. Cisco vs Nvidia: What is Nvidia worth now? The correlation between Bank reserves and the market. Powell says the Fed's next move will be a rate cut by EOY. Stocks in the news with less liquidity in the market, yet, financial (lending) conditions are easing? Borrowing activity is at an all-time low: Conditions are very tight. Why the Fed won't act now; the Banks own the Fed, and Jerome Powell's boss is really Jamie Dimon. If the Fed sees liquidity shrinking, does the market know? Employment & Quit Rate/hiring Rate dichotomies; ADP vs BLS: Data skews make it difficult to tell, but there's no real growth. Being "Bougie Broke:" continuing to buy using buy now/pay later programs: How long can that last? 3:14 - Earnings Are a Function of Economic Growth 14:40 - Market Bubble or Market Top? 30:23 - Who Really Owns the Fed (and who's Jerome Powell's real boss)? 44:30 - Being Bougie Broke: How long can Buy-now, Pay-later last? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Liquidity Problems Are Closer Than You Think" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/liquidity-problems-are-closer-than-you-think/ "Valuation Metrics And Volatility Suggest Investor Caution" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/valuation-metrics-and-volatility-suggest-investor-caution/ "Berkshire And The Cash Dilemma" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Being Complacent About the Market is Dangerous," is here: &list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How Inflation is Affecting the Economy" &list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LiquidityProblems #MarketLiquidity #HowInflationAffectsEconomy #SuperTuesday #PresidentialElection #GovernmentMatchTo401ks #InvestingAdvice #ValuationMetrics #NoRateCuts #SitckyInflation #StockValuations #CashHoard #InterestRateCuts #MarketCorrection #CashVsValuations #MarketCapGDPRatio #MarketCorrection #JeffBezos #Markets #Money #Investing |
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