by Lance Roberts
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| Economic update: Yield curves are normalizing, with only one curve still inverted. Stay informed with our upcoming newsletter! 📈 #EconomicUpdate Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/aff84f YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow |
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Bull Steepening Is Bearish For Stocks – Part Two
2024-09-04
Part One of this article described the burgeoning bull steepening yield curve environment and what it implies about economic growth and Fed policy. It also discussed the three other predominant types of yield curve shifts and what they suggest for the economy and Fed policy.
Persistent yield curve shifts tend to correlate with different stock performances. With the odds growing that a long bull steepening may be upon us, it’s incumbent upon us to quantify how various stock indices, sectors, and factors have done during similar yield curve movements.
Limiting Losses With Yield Curve Analysis
Stocks spend a lot more time trending upward than downward. However, in those relatively brief periods where longer-term bearish trends endure, investors are advised to take steps to reduce
Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins
2024-09-03
Since the end of the “Yen Carry Trade” correction in August, bullish positioning has returned with a vengeance, yet two key risks face investors as September begins. While bullish positioning and optimism are ingredients for a rising market, there is more to this story.
Historical Perspective on Economic Cycles
2024-08-30
Unpacking Kamalanomics and economic cycles in America. Check out my article for more insights. #EconomicGrowthMyth #Kamalanomics
Learn more:
Subscribe to our YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow
Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/13b832
8-23-24 How to Prepare for Recession (even when there isn’t one)
2024-08-23
Joy, Gratitude, and the difficulty of knowing what narrative to believe. Still to come: Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole, and reaction to negative revision to Jobs numbers. Four rate cuts by the Fed before the end of the year? How to make volatility work for you. Taxation of unrealized gains: It’s a dumb idea. What about credits for losses?? (You absorb the losses, the Gov’t takes the gains.) Thank goodness for Congressional gridlock. Schwab study, "What is Wealthy?" $2.5-mil average. The danger in benchmarking against surveys, S&P, and others’ portfolios. Inflation vs deflation: The chatroom explodes. Preparing for Recession, even when there isn’t one. Yet. The financial security cushion; Schiller’s CAPE calculation: How will this affect you in distribution mode? Debt-to-Income
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