9-3-24 “Past Performance is No Guarantee…”
2024-09-03
It’s a holiday-shortened trading week to kick off the new month: September & October tend to be weaker trading months. Look for light volume and the impact of the corporate buy back window open and closing; markets tend to de-risk ahead of elections. Markets closed Friday at July’s all-time high amid much bullish optimism. Markets today could retest 20- 50-DMA for support. despite a loss of momentum, take caution to not become overly negative. Lance and Jonathan address viewer emails about searching for investment research platforms (a la Morningstar), and the meanings of stock ratings (who is the customer?)"Past performance is no guarantee of future results…" A more important "P" question is one of Philosophy of a firm. Look for survivability over time. Why you cannot ignore past
Historical Perspective on Economic Cycles
2024-08-30
Unpacking Kamalanomics and economic cycles in America. Check out my article for more insights. #EconomicGrowthMyth #Kamalanomics
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8-23-24 How to Prepare for Recession (even when there isn’t one)
2024-08-23
Joy, Gratitude, and the difficulty of knowing what narrative to believe. Still to come: Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole, and reaction to negative revision to Jobs numbers. Four rate cuts by the Fed before the end of the year? How to make volatility work for you. Taxation of unrealized gains: It’s a dumb idea. What about credits for losses?? (You absorb the losses, the Gov’t takes the gains.) Thank goodness for Congressional gridlock. Schwab study, "What is Wealthy?" $2.5-mil average. The danger in benchmarking against surveys, S&P, and others’ portfolios. Inflation vs deflation: The chatroom explodes. Preparing for Recession, even when there isn’t one. Yet. The financial security cushion; Schiller’s CAPE calculation: How will this affect you in distribution mode? Debt-to-Income