Gold Overbought: A Long Correction Expected After Fed Rate Cut

2024-10-08

When most people hear the word “risk,” they think about wild market swings, scary headlines, and losing money overnight, but Howard Marks, Co-Chairman and Co-Founder of Oaktree Capital Management, takes a different approach. In his new video series How to Think About Risk, Marks digs deep into what risk is and how investors should handle it. Spoiler alert: It’s not just about volatility.

The CFA Institute recently summarized the video stream, but I wanted to elaborate on some of Howard Mark’s views.

Let’s break down some key lessons from Marks that can help you rethink your investing approach to risk.

Risk Isn’t Just Volatility

One of the biggest takeaways from Marks’ series is the idea that risk and volatility aren’t the same thing. For years, many investors (and academics)

2024-10-07

Investing in mortgage companies like Annaly could be a smart move as interest rates decrease. Get a 13% yield while waiting for potential growth! 📈 #FinanceTips #Investing #Annaly

Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/6704b3

YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

2024-10-02

On September 18, 2024, the headlines read the Fed cut the Fed Funds rate by 50 basis points. At first blush, one would think that a trader with a crystal ball a couple of days before the Fed action would buy bonds and lick their chops over the money they would soon make. In this case, the crystal ball was a curse.

Bond yields rose following the rate cut despite what many investment professionals perceive to be a bullish event. If you scour the media, you will find rationales for the sell-off. Such includes the Fed stoking inflation or China’s massive stimulus package. In our opinion, it’s much more straightforward; it all comes down to context.

We were inspired to write this by a message asking us in disbelief if we had ever seen such an adverse bond market reaction to a rate cut.

2024-08-05

What’s going on with the unwinding of the carry trade, and should you be concerned? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz provide perspective, explain the significance of the Carry Trade and what is happening in the Japanese economy, and why it is effecting global markets today (8/5/24)…plus their advice on what you can and should do today.

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CPA
Produced by Brent Clanton
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2024-08-03

Small businesses heavily rely on credit card payments for cash flow. Recent trends show rising delinquencies in both credit cards and auto loans. #SmallBusiness #CreditCardPayments

Want to learn more? Subscribe to our YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

2024-07-31

Many wealthy people choose to pass on wealth when they die, but that’s not the only way. Passing on assets during your lifetime can have big benefits, both psychological and practical, and beyond alleviating financial stress, early inheritance can provide a test run for future big gifts.

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Articles mentioned in this report:
Bullish Years Often Have Corrections
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-years-often-have-corrections/
"Pullback Doesn’t Deter Investor Bullishness"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Was the Rally For Real?" is here:

2024-05-23

Exploring the potential winners in the tech industry beyond AI giants like Nvidia. Could the next big profiters be more unexpected, like Levi Strauss back in the gold rush era? 🤔 #techindustry #potentialwinners

Join us as Michael Lebowitz delves into the parallels between historical economic booms and today’s tech landscape. Could someone other than tech giants be the biggest winners?
– Comparison between the California gold rush and the current tech boom
– Analysis on who made the most money during the gold rush
– The potential for non-obvious winners in the tech industry
– Nvidia’s recent financial performance and future prospects
– Possible modern-day equivalents to Levi Strauss in the tech world

➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts: