by Lance Roberts
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| Energy stocks $XLE are breaking out, even as oil remains flat near $64. In this short video, I explain why a bullish golden cross and rising strength point to a potential defensive rotation from $SPY / $QQQ. Full episode: Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
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9-9-25 Gold, Jobs & the Fed: Axel Merk’s Market Outlook
2025-09-12
From the Fed’s next move to the outlook for gold and gold miners, Axel Merk, CEO of Merk Investments, shares with Lance Roberts his take on today’s biggest market risks: The largest jobs revision ever, the Fed’s lagging response, why active management beats passive distortions, and how investors should think about risk, contrarian views, and the role of gold in their portfolios.
0:18 – Introduction of Alex Merk, CEO Merk Investments
2:01 – Annual revisions to BLS Employment Report – Largest negative revision to jobs in history.
4:20 – William Poole’s explanation of BLS numbers & methodology and why markets pay attention.
6:13 – Herbert Hoover’s belief in National Data for creating BLS numbers.
8:19 – The market trades off the data, whether you agree with it or not.
9:35 – How the
Main Street Optimism Ticks Higher Despite Hiring Challenges
2025-09-10
Main Street optimism edged higher in August, as the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose to 100.8. That reading sits above the long-term average of 98 but missed the consensus estimate of 101. Stronger sales expectations led the improvement, with a net 12% of owners anticipating higher real sales volumes. This represents a six-point jump …
7-25-25 Are You a Meme Stock Mania DORK?
2025-07-25
Is your portfolio full of DORKs? Jonathan Penn and Jonathan McCarty unpack the return of meme stock mania and four speculative favorites: DNUT (Krispy Kreme), OPEN (Opendoor), RKLB (Rocket Lab), and KSS (Kohl’s). These retail-loved names are soaring again—but should you follow the hype or stay grounded? We’ll discuss why these stocks are rallying, the behavioral finance behind retail speculation, and the portfolio risks in chasing "lottery ticket" trades. Why the resurgence of meme stock mania, why retail investors are fueling it, and what it means for your portfolio? Don’t fall for the hype—learn how to invest smartly in a high-risk environment.
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CPI Data Has Something For Everyone
2025-07-16
Yesterday’s CPI data was viewed by many as the first monthly BLS report to capture the full impact of tariffs. The headline CPI rose 0.3% and the core CPI data showed a 0.2% increase. The CPI data was slightly lower than Wall Street’s expectations for a 0.3% increase for both figures. Those claiming that tariffs …
Tariffs Cause The First June Surplus In Nine Years
2025-07-15
For the first time since 2016, the Federal government ran a budget surplus in June. Before the Financial Crisis, a surplus was the norm. However, since then, deficits have been the rule, not the exception. The cause of the $27 billion surplus was $27 billion in tariffs taken in. For reference, the government took in …
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