Debunking Inflation Myths: The Truth About Money Printing and Demand

2024-05-10

Earnings preview & economic reports: The wisdom of writing a market journal. Will markets produce an 8th day of gains? Current trading strategioes; the animal spirits are shifting. Soupy Sales’ ‘Send a Dollar;’ CEO Neutrality, getting back to the basics of business. Will Social Security last past 2035? There are some surprising, positive notes in the latest SS Trustees’ report. Why we run financial plans without SS. Financial Dust-bunnies: Medicare Lunch & Learn; why the big push for Medicare Advantage? (Because that’s what pays brokers the most.) Crafting retirement income is an art: Is the 4% Rule too safe? There is no set number: There are too many variables. "The Woods" retirement plan; the Annuities discussion; protecting against emotional decisions.

3:13 – Will Markets Produce an

2024-05-07

Economists’ ‘rush-to-judgement’ vs the lag effect catching up w economic data. Consumer spending and loan demand are waning as excesses in money supply are normalizing. The data re beginning to refute the "no recession" theme. Market correction is now over, bullish trend to resume. The challenge of NOT expecting recession; what the data is starting to show; not a lot of risk in credit markets…yet. That’s where trouble will show up first. Geopolitical conflicts do mot matter to markets for long; world wars do. Spreads between corporate bonds vs treasuries are at an all time low (90bp). There’s no stress in the economy…so far; pay attention to credit risk. 20th Anniversary of 2008 Financial Crisis is approaching. Letters from the IRS and a $34-B tax bill; the rich need to pay their

2024-05-01

Having cash on hand allows for seizing great opportunities. Wise investing involves careful consideration, not reckless decisions. #financialwisdom

In this video, Lance Roberts delves into the strategic value of maintaining a cash reserve. Discover why holding cash can be a critical element in savvy investing practices.

– Understand the importance of having liquidity in your investment strategy.
– Learn how cash reserves give you the flexibility to act on unexpected opportunities.
– Find out why thorough analysis and patience are crucial before investing.
– Hear why impulsively investing can be detrimental to your financial health.
– Get professional insights on managing your capital wisely in a fluctuating market.

➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:

2024-04-30

Over the last two weeks, the bullish sentiment index has reversed from extreme greed to fear. While the index can indeed fall further, what is notable is the sharp reversal of market “exuberance” in such a short span. It would be unsurprising if the market failed this initial resistance test and ultimately retested the 100-DMA soon. Such a pullback would solidify that support and complete the reversal of the bullish sentiment index.

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jon Penn, CFA
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/
"Sucker

2024-03-04

Markets are entering the three strgonest months of the year; what if interest arwets aren’t cut? February was unusually strong for a "weak" month; what happens during Presidential Election years? Looking at Volatility risk. Markets have been up for 16 of the past 18-weeks; such activity generalluy heralds a correction. Warren Buffett’s annual letter: What do to with $160-B in cash? The dilemma of cash and valuations; cash held by corporations is at an all-time high; Buffett’s favorite metric is Market Capitalization to GDP Ratio. Why it’s hard to find "reasonably priced" companies. When investing becomes gambling; the risk of market correction coming. Dumb Money vs Smart Money: Teaching kids to invest, not gamble.

3:13 – Entering Three Strongest Months of the Year
14:31 – Warren

2024-02-22

Has Nvidia become the world’s most-valuable company? The S&P is aiming at more all-time highs, but can they hold? Fed minutes reveal no rush to cut rates. The disconnect with markets’ expecting more cuts. Will the Fed reduce QT as money flows into markets? Meanwhile, markets continue to test rising trendline at 20-DMA, as consolidation continues. No reason to be bearish on markets…yet. What markets missed from Fed Minutes: the quantity of rate cuts to come. An unexpected risk: Effects of balance sheet run-off as Fed adjusts QT to manage liquidity. The unstoppable market: What is happening to Fed’s repo program; the Fed Liquidity Index. Have we returned to a bubble in Magnificent Seven stocks (and are they worthy of current valuations)? The hard part about managing portfolios: How does