by Lance Roberts
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| Markets are unpredictable. Always be cautious of what you think you know. Stay informed and be prepared for the unexpected. 📈 #marketinsights Want to learn more? Subscribe to our YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow |
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7-25-24 How Your Confidence Can Boost or Break the Economy
2024-07-25
The S&P Global Services Index is "great," in contradiction to other eocnomic metrics; the first estimate of Q2 GDP is released today (up 2.8%); this will be revised. Important to note the behavior of GDP prior to past recessions, which are always back-dated. 350-days without a 2% correction, until Wednesday. Bill Dudley is calling for lower interest rates now; Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explain the crucial link between consumer confidence and economic performance. Learn how sentiment drives markets and impacts your personal finances: The relationship between financial confidence and spending habits; the effects of market decline on consumer behavior; how sentiment influences economic performance; the role of confidence in personal financial decisions; why sentiment is a key factor
Why Falling Yields Are Bad News for Small Cap Stocks
2024-07-19
Interesting findings on small caps and yields! When yields fall, it’s not good for small and mid cap stocks due to their dependency on economic growth. 📉💼 #StockMarket #InvestingTips
Want to learn more? Subscribe to our YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow
Why You Need a Financial Advisor
2024-07-18
RIA Advisors’ Chief Investment Strategist recounts how you can tell you need a financial advisor, and why the group of advisors at RIA can best fill your needs.
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7-15-24 The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism
2024-07-15
“Bears are like a ‘broken clock,’ they are right twice a day.” While that may seem true during a rising bull market, the reality is that both “bulls” and “bears” are owned by the “broken clock syndrome.” The statement exposes the ignorance or bias of those making such a claim. If you invert the logic, such things become more evident. “If ‘bears’ are right twice a day, then ‘bulls’ must be wrong twice a day.” In the investing game, the timing of being “wrong” is critical to your long-term goals.
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO,
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism"
5-7-24 Powell Sparks a Buying Frenzy
2024-05-07
Economists’ ‘rush-to-judgement’ vs the lag effect catching up w economic data. Consumer spending and loan demand are waning as excesses in money supply are normalizing. The data re beginning to refute the "no recession" theme. Market correction is now over, bullish trend to resume. The challenge of NOT expecting recession; what the data is starting to show; not a lot of risk in credit markets…yet. That’s where trouble will show up first. Geopolitical conflicts do mot matter to markets for long; world wars do. Spreads between corporate bonds vs treasuries are at an all time low (90bp). There’s no stress in the economy…so far; pay attention to credit risk. 20th Anniversary of 2008 Financial Crisis is approaching. Letters from the IRS and a $34-B tax bill; the rich need to pay their
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