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| Markets don’t crash on risks everyone is watching—they’re already priced in and hedged. In this Short video, Lance Roberts explains why the real danger is an unexpected shock that forces earnings lower and triggers a rapid repricing of valuations. 📺Full episode: -Z7mJI Catch Lance daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
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TPUs Or GPUs: Is Nvidia’s Moat Eroding?
2025-11-26
Markets have priced Nvidia as the clear winner in AI chip production. To some, its moat appears impenetrable. Google’s developments suggest there may be some competition. Google has been training and serving its AI platform with in-house tensor processing units (TPUs). These chips are more cost-effective and power-efficient than Nvidia’s GPUs. By using TPUs in …
AMD Surges: Nvidia Competition Heats Up
2025-10-07
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) stock opened up by nearly 35% on Monday morning, following reports that OpenAI is acquiring a 10% stake in AMD. As part of the agreement, AMD will supply OpenAI with 6 gigawatts of AMD’s Instinct GPUs.
Corporate Prices Lead Consumer Prices
2025-10-06
The following discussion is courtesy of Paul Mortimer Lee, as provided by Albert Edwards of Societe Generale. Paul makes an interesting case that PCE prices, the Fed’s primary gauge of inflation, are likely to decline. Supporting his view is a relatively wide and growing gap between the prices witnessed by the non-financial corporate business sector, …
Promised Recession…So Where Is It?
2025-10-03
Over the past three years, the economic conversation has been a “promised recession.” If you read the headlines, tracked economist surveys, or even listened to Wall Street strategists, you would have assumed a downturn was imminent. Many investors, bloggers, and YouTubers have had a “parade of horribles” promising a recession is just on the horizon.The logic was …
10/2/25 Valuations Don’t Matter… Until They Do
2025-10-02
Markets are trading at near all-time record valuations with little fundamental support.
Momentum is currently driving prices across all asset classes, but when earnings reality fails to match lofty expectations, valuations start to matter. And that’s when the music stops.
In this short video, I show why history warns against ignoring valuations and what it means for risk and returns ahead.
Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
Is Bad Breadth The Norm, Not The Exception?
2025-08-13
Since the Pandemic, markets have been behaving abnormally. One such instance is a somewhat regular occurrence of bad market breadth. In other words, the market-cap weighted S&P 500 drives higher, yet fewer and fewer stocks are participating in the rally. For instance, in Monday’s Commentary, we discussed the current instance of bad breadth. To wit: …
Data Myopia Foils The Fed
2025-08-08
For months, we have been warning that the labor markets are not as strong as the BLS data attests. Six months ago, we wrote: While labor market data is generally good, there are signs the labor market is at a standstill. Continuing jobless claims are steadily rising and at their highest level in over three …
8-7-25 The Risks of Investing in AI Stocks vs the Dot-com Bubble
2025-08-07
Investing in companies just because they’re "in AI" is reminiscent of investors who plowed money into anything that had a .com behind their names at the turn of the century. That did not end well for most.
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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