10-6-25 Bear Market Losses: The Dangerous Illusion Investors Fall For
2025-10-06
Investors often believe that when markets “recover,” their portfolios do too — but that’s a dangerous illusion. In this episode, Lance Roberts breaks down why percentage losses and gains are not symmetrical, and how a 50% loss requires a 100% gain just to break even.
We’ll discuss why bear market math destroys long-term returns, how emotional investors get trapped in the “illusion of recovery,” and why managing risk during drawdowns matters more than chasing every rally.
0:19 – The First Full Trading Week of October – Action
4:11 – Markets – Overbought & Overconfident?
9:27 – Where is the Promised Recession?
12:06 – What is Supporting the Market?
15:53 – The Overall Liquidity Base is Still Flush
19:19 – Annual vs Intra-year Returns Comparison
22:18 – Understanding Losses in Bear
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