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8-6-24 Is the Selling Over?

Monday's Carry Trade-inspired blowout saw lots of selling , but a little bit of recovery before the dust settled. The ISM Services Report clocked-in a little stronger than expected, taking fears of imminent Recession off the table. The Fed might not have to cut rates as much. Markets are now over sold by three standard deviations off the moving average; a bounce is in the office, but this could be the beginning of a bigger correction. Lance and Jon provide some clarification and perspective: Market points vs percentages; now vs 2020 or 1980: how much are we up since 202? Recessions are based on consumer sentiment and contraction in spending. How the "unwinding" creates another cycle of unwinding; note that 82% of S&P companies are now out of the stock buy back blackout period; some volume to return, at lower prices. The underperformance of Gold is why we don't talk about it much; if you're going to own it (it's a commodity!) own coins with numismatic value, not bullion: How to convert to currency? The importance of understanding what you own. Too Late to buy bonds for now: Wait for some consolidation: U.S. Treasuries, not corporate or "high yield" (a.k.a junk) bonds. The risk of Recession is heightened because of slower consumer spending and negativity. Bond will come back, but will take time.

3:23 - Monday Market Recap: Lots of Selling w Some Recovery
14:50 - Could This Be the Beginning of a Bigger Correction?
30:19 - Why Gold Underperforms
44:27 - Too Late to Buy Bonds

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"Yen Carry Trade Blows Up Sparking Global Sell-Off"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yen-carry-trade-blows-up-sparking-global-sell-off/
"Inversion Of Yield Curve Finally Reversing"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Next for Markets Will Be a Bounce" is here:
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Our previous show is here: "Understanding Yield Curves: Inversion Doesn't Guarantee a Recession "
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Get more info & commentary:
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Lance Roberts
Finally, financial news that makes sense. Lance Roberts, the host of "StreetTalkLive", has a unique ability to bring the complex world of economics, investing and personal financial wealth building to you in simple, easy and informative ways but also makes it entertaining to listen to at the same time.
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