5-16-24 It’s a Mistake to Be Entirely Out of Equities

2024-05-06

Strong economic growth in the 60s and 70s led to higher inflation rates. Current data doesn’t show stagflation, but concerns persist. GDP fell to 1.6 on a real basis. #EconomicInsights #Inflation #GDP

Description: Join Lance Roberts as he delves into the complex relationship between economic growth and inflation. Understand the current economic dynamics and dispel the myths surrounding stagflation.
– Explanation of how inflation correlates with economic growth
– Analysis of current economic data to assess the presence of stagflation
– Discussion on public concern and media coverage of stagflation
– Insights into the impact of GDP and PCE price index figures
– Evaluation of investment strategies in relation to economic conditions

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2024-05-01

Fed Day brings dovish expectations; so far, so good in current earnings season. Economic data is all over the board; Europe emerges from Recession. Taxes to increase; tax flight is inevitable. Market correction continues; can it hold support at 100-DMA? A 10% correction would be normal. Earnings recap (so far) Amazon, CVS/Healthcare: Baby Boomers’ elective surgeries are impacting insurors’ actuarial tables; the rash of retirees. AMD disappoints because their report was on-target, not better-than-expected. Overall, a mixed-bag of results. What happens when companies miss? META: Is the ‘Metaverse’ fading? Lance’s Bitcoin commentary. Fed meeting preview: Inflation proving stickier than expected. Will the Fed hike rates? Ho the Fed communicates to markets: Different speakers’ different takes

2024-04-30

Market update: Corporations are returning to buy equities after a $367 billion drop in share buybacks led to a 5.5% market correction. CEO confidence is improving, leading to increased buybacks. Google recently announced a $70 billion buyback. #investing #marketupdate

In this insightful piece, host Lance Roberts discusses the recent trends in the equity markets and the expected rebound. Dive into the dynamics of corporate buybacks and CEO confidence influencing market movements.
– Explanation of the recent 5.5% market correction
– Discussion on the role of corporations returning to the equity market
– Analysis of the impact of improving earnings on equity buying
– Insight into how CEO confidence correlates with financial strategies
– Exploration of trends in net buybacks based on

2024-04-22

After six days of market declines, is the Correction done? Election risk scenarios & market volatility; markets do not like uncertainty. PCE preview (the inflation gauge the Fed pays attention to). Markets break the 50-DMA, and are now sitting on the 100-DMA. The unsurprising uptick in inflation and the impact of higher raates; why commodities matter. Higher for longer, for not much longer: Rates must come down; NFIB preview. Hey, what happened to all the Ukraine aid US taxpayers propvided? Inflation is a function of supply & demand; where is the higher demand going to come from? Looking ahead to this week’s PCE number, expecting the markets to bounce: Sell into the rally.

3:14 – Is the Correction Done?
14:35 – The Unsurprising Uptick in Inflation
30:18 – Higher for Longer, not much

2024-04-11

Having risen by about 40% since last October, Gold is on a moonshot. Many investment professionals consider gold prices to be a macro barometer, measuring the level of anxiety in the economy, inflation, currency, and geopolitics. So what is and isn’t driving the price of gold higher?

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"Is Gold Warning Us Or Running With The Markets?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-gold-warning-us-or-running-with-the-markets/
"Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/
"Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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The

2024-02-09

(2/9/24) Rich & Danny prepare for today’s market action & economic releases; the notion that markets believe the Fed should lower rates is un-believable. Labor and unit costs will ultimately be the determining factor. Tesla is dropped from the Magnificent-7, replaced by Eli Lilly; should it be the "Sexy-7?" Mutant wolves roam Chernobyl; Taylor Swift & the Super Bowl: she is the epitome of the American Dream. Why Taylor Swift won’t have to worry about IRMAA charges. New SS COLA and tax implications; why diversification of accounts matters. How your Social Security is taxed. IRMAA & the Five-Year Rule; FIFO (first-in, first-out) in Roth. How to manage Roth if retirement is a few years away.

2:49 – Market & Economic Numbers Preview: Fed Rate Policy
14:03 – Taylor Swift, Mutant Wolves, &

2024-02-02

(2/2/24) King Cakes, Ground Hog’s Day, & Meta results: finally paying a dividend to investors. Fed commentary: will the labor markets crack? Will the Fed continue to move the goal posts? Our next Candid Coffee is February 24 (registration link is below): Couples’ money communication; children are Trustees in training. Having the Money Conversation with kids; (The Ground Hog predicts an early Spring). Going back to work after retirement; the Buc-cee’s segment; Retirees returning to work; the reluctance to use a financial advisor; the struggle for men in retirement; why many retirees return to work. The value of a blended portfolio; how to grade your financial advisor: What should be on the report card? Why health and lifestyle matter in retirement.

2:20 – King Cakes, Ground Hog’s Day, &