by Lance Roberts
My articles My offerMy siteAbout meMy videosMy books
Follow on:TwitterSeeking AlphaFacebookAmazon
| China retaliates to Trump's retaliation to China's tit-for-tat response to tariffs; downward pressure continues as markets trying to recalibrate with a moving tariff target; there are cracks appearing in the treasury market from the basis trade; what will the Fed do? Lance explains the latest gyrations in markets and the sharp rise in bond yields. Basis trade explained; appears to be at 20X leverage: Is someone getting margin calls and liquidating? Tariffs are not the issue here; will the Fed step in? Wall Mart reports earnings, but cannot provide guidance until tariff trouble is resolved. How much money does it take to move markets one-point? Slowing economy = less demand = high unemployment. It's going to get worse before it gets better. There is an alarming trend of 401k early withdrawals; "leakage" has been a problem for a while. Lance and Danny examine the eruption in the bond market; don't over react. The VIX has spiked, but is moderating. What will the Fed do? The best tariff trade is the Roth conversion. 3:14 - Tit-for-tat on Tariffs 14:47 - What is the Basis Trade? 30:32 - It's Going to Get Worse Before It Gets Better 44:39 - Eruption in the Bond Market Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/ "Corporate Yield Spreads Start To Widen" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/daily-market-commentary/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "The “Liberation Day” Tariffs Crash The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-liberation-day-tariffs-crash-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Yields Belie Market Instability," is here: _NY_tY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Markets Rally; What's Next?" &list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LiquidityCrisis #MarketVolatility #FinancialStress #CreditCrunch #FedWatch #BondYields #MarketInstability #BasisTrade #ETF #Liquidity #StockMarketRally #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestingInsights #FinanceNews #EconomicTrends #MarketCrash2025 #FearAndFinance #InvestingInUncertainty #FinancialCrisis #HopeInTheCrash #EarningsImpact #TariffEffect #MarketAnalysis #InvestorInsight #TradeWar2025 #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing |
You Might Also Like
The Trump 2.0 Put: Got Bonds?
2025-02-26
During Donald Trump’s first term, some investors bought into the Trump 1.0 Put. The trade was based on the market’s belief that Trump believed the stock market’s performance was a referendum on his presidency. Accordingly, investors thought that Trump would do everything he could to backstop the stock market if it fell. Thus, some investors …
Understanding Portfolio Sizing for Risk Management in Investments
2025-02-22
Regular portfolio check-ins are crucial! Evaluate sizing and impact of each position to avoid trouble. #investingtips #financialplanning
Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/1f237a
YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow
Margin Balances Suggests Risks Are Building
2025-02-22
Inside This Week’s Bull Bear Report New Coronavirus Discovery Shakes Markets Last week, we discussed that continued bullish exuberance and high levels of complacency can quickly turn into volatility. As we noted then, introducing an unexpected, exogenous event can soon lead to a price decline if investors begin to reprice forward expectations. On Friday, that …
12-20-24 What the Trump Win Means for Your Taxes
2024-12-20
Rich & Danny’s final live show of the year starts with coverage of Tariffs, inflation vs deflation, and Jerome Powell’s performance as Fed Head. Being cautiously optimistic: We’ve been living in a government-driven economy: Markets aren’t red or blue; they’re green. How estate planning may evovled during the Trump presidency; will the SALT deduction return? Debt focus will change perspective. Richard discovers the NOK Box for estate planning. Investing addicts attending Gamblers Anonymous: investings vs speculating. Creating a financial plan in 2025; retirement & taking Social Security early vs not. Why you cannot start and stop SS anymore. Strategies for drawing on retirement funds before taking Social Security; what is your legacy intent? Pensions vs Social Security; the Art of
Cut And Pause: FOMC Summary
2024-12-19
As widely expected, the Fed cut the Fed Funds rate by 25bps, to 4.25-4.50%, at yesterday’s FOMC meeting. Moreover, they intimated that after cutting rates by 1% since September, they are likely to be more data-dependent, which may slow the pace of further rate cuts. They want to see inflation trend lower again and/or the …
Is Canada A Canary In The Economic Coalmine?
2024-12-13
On Wednesday, the Bank of Canada cut its key benchmark rate by 50bps. They have now cut by 150 bps in 2024, compared to what will likely be 100 bps for the Fed after next week’s meeting. Unlike the Fed, Canada’s central bank is fighting off a recession. Canadian real GDP for the last four …
Market Uncertainty: Will Earnings Meet Expectations Amid Policy Hurdles?
2024-12-11
Feeling uncertain about future policies & earnings? ? Experts warn of potential surprises next year. Stay tuned! ? #EconomicOutlook #StayInformed
Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/7c9238
YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow
Tags: Featured,newsletter
#rente #shorts
20 pings
Skip to comment form ↓