8-30-24 Can Social Security Clawback Your Payments?

2024-08-19

Previews of the DNC Convention and Jackson Hole meeting previews, plus four Fed speakers on tap this week; Monkey Pox & Covid on the upswing ahead of election season. Markets stage a phenomenal recovery over the past five days; could interest rates reverse? Kamalanomics: A historical perspective on Economic Cycles: Why Prices Controls will exacerbate inflation; the myth of price gouging; the Tytler Cycle revisited.

3:15 – Phenomenal Market Recovery – Could Interest Rates Reverse?
14:47 – Kamalanomics, Pt. 1: Fixing Inflation w Price Controls
30:19 – Kamalanomics, Pt.2: The Myth of Price Gouging
44:33 – Academy Carts & Anniversary Roombas
48:08 – Kamalanomics, Pt. 3: This is Nothing New: The Tytler Cycle (You are Here)

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts,

2024-08-15

July CPI clocks-on on-target for the Federal Reserve to cut rates, as it indicate inflation is trending downward. This would set-up the Fed for up to four rate cuts by the end of the year, but not so great for stocks. Watch for seasonal adjustments to Retail Sales reports. Markets will challenge 50-DMA, and could end its correction today. Your personal experience with inflation is not the same as Government calculations, which is what markets look at. CPI was on the money, and the trend is lower. Economic data can fluctuate monthly. Focus on trends for a clearer picture! Lance and Michael answer an email question about investing in Dividend Stocks; what does the Yield infer? Looking at the Peg ratio, and what indicators about a company matter. Dividend stocks vs growth stocks. What makes

2024-08-14

The PPI number came in weaker than expected with lower input prices. Today’s CPI report (a 0.2% monthly increase = 3.2% annual rate) weakness could spur the Fed to lower rates, although to what extent remains unknown. The upcoming Jackson Hole Economic Summit could also provide impetus for the Fed’s action in September. Meanwhile, markets on Tuesday cleared the 100-DMA, and are looking for confirmation at the 50-DMA. Will he or won’t he? Danny’s coaching decision remains to be seen. Why market remain resilient after the sell-off. YouTube Chat Q&A: Dealing with Teacher Retirement Fund taxation & fees; the retirement plan variables: What to do with a 401k at Retirement? How 401k’s killed pensions (a very bad idea). What to do with 401k when changing jobs. Why pensions should go away vs

2024-08-09

A Universal Basic Income (UBI) sounds great in theory. According to a previous study by the Roosevelt Institute, it could permanently increase the U.S. economy by trillions of dollars. While such socialistic policies sound great in theory, history, and data, they aren’t the economic saviors they are touted to be.

What Is A Universal Basic Income (UBI)

To understand why the theory of universal basic income (UBI) is heavily flawed, we need to understand what UBI is.

“Basic income, also called universal basic income (UBI), is a public governmental program for a periodic payment delivered to all citizens of a given population without a means test or work requirement. Basic income can be implemented nationally, regionally, or locally, and is an unconditional income sufficient to meet

2024-06-10

Unemployment rate hits 4%, trend above 12-month average since start of year. Could this signal a recession? 📈 #economy #unemployment #recession

Lance Roberts discusses the significance of the recent unemployment rate trends. Tune in to understand why this could be a crucial economic indicator.
– Explanation of the current unemployment rate trends
– Comparison with the twelve-month average
– Historical context of above-average unemployment rates
– Correlation with recessions
– Clarification on the current state of the economy

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2024-06-04

Should you wait until after the Presidential Election to invest? Are you considering market timing as a strategy? Lance Roberts breaks down the pitfalls and risks of trying to predict the market: Challenges of predicting market trends months in advance; Consequences of sitting out of the market until a specific event; the trap of waiting for the perfect moment to invest; How market run-ups can leave you behind; The psychological cycle that keeps investors indecisive. Launching June market trading and looking ahead; the continuing saga of E*Trade, Roaring Kitty, and GameStop. Economic data continues to weaken; expectations for Fed rate cuts this year are now back up to two. Markets’ morning selloff, afternoon rally back into the green pattern continues, thanks to EOD institutional buying;

2024-05-30

Bitcoin mining accounts for almost 2% of electricity generation, not significant for grid expansion, but still considerable. AI data centers offer more economic benefits. #Bitcoin #AI #EnergyConsumption

Join Michael Lebowitz as he digs into the nuances of bitcoin mining and its energy consumption. This short segment critiques the productivity and economic benefits of bitcoin mining.
– Bitcoin mining’s energy consumption and its impact on the power grid
– The debate on the economic benefits of bitcoin mining
– Comparison between bitcoin mining and AI data centers
– Statistical insights on bitcoin mining usage
– Introduction to natural gas in the context of energy consumption

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2024-05-29

Understanding inflation: it’s all about supply and demand. Government’s not just printing money but issuing debt. #economics101 #inflation

In this video, Lance Roberts breaks down the basics of inflation and how supply and demand influence its rise and fall. Understand the common misconceptions about inflation and the truth behind money circulation.

– Explanation of inflation using supply and demand principles.

– Impact of a slowing economy and reduced demand on inflation.

– The misconception about government "printing money."

– Relationship between money supply and population growth.

– Reasons why inflation falls as monetary supply declines.

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