by Lance Roberts
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| Passive investing is often misunderstood. Many investors believe buying ETFs makes them passive, but frequent trading, sector rotation, and performance chasing turn it into active behavior. Instead of picking individual stocks, investors are actively trading baskets of stocks. As the late John Bogle warned, the ability to trade ETFs intraday encourages investors to act on emotion and timing decisions. The result is that many “passive” investors still underperform the market over time. 📺Full episode: Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
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Technology Stocks: Dead Or An Opportunity?
2026-02-07
🔎 At a Glance 🏛️ Market Brief – Market Volatility Returns Markets stumbled into February, a historically weak month. February tends to deliver modest returns, with average performance trailing the stronger gains typically seen in January and March. Seasonal tailwinds, such as earnings season and new-year fund flows, begin to fade, while macro headwinds, such …
2-4-26 AI Isn’t Killing Software-As-A-Service — The Market Narrative Is
2026-02-04
AI is pressuring software margins, but the market has pushed this narrative to an extreme.
Just like past cycles, investors are extrapolating disruption into total collapse.
SaaS stocks $IGV are now deeply oversold, with many down 40–60% $NOW $CRM and valuations near cycle lows.
Some companies will fail, but the entire sector won’t disappear.
Stepping away from the hype and analyzing businesses—not headlines—is how real opportunities begin to form, even if the selloff isn’t finished yet.
📺Full episode: -H-lG3A
Catch Lance Roberts daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
1-31-26 Margin Debt Explained: Bullish Today, Dangerous Tomorrow
2026-01-31
In this short video, Lance Roberts & Michael LebowitzI discuss margin debt in detail.
Margin debt at record highs isn’t a sell signal. Rising leverage adds buying power and supports prices.
The real risk comes when margin debt reverses and deleveraging accelerates downside.
Watch the rate of change, not the headline level.
📺Full episode:
Catch Lance daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
12-24-25 The Fed at a Crossroads – Joseph Wang Interview
2025-12-12
The Federal Reserve is entering a pivotal phase, and the decisions it makes now will define the next era of monetary policy. Lance Roberts and The Fed Guy, Joseph Wang, examine the structural forces putting the Fed at a crossroads—from rate cuts and shifting labor-market dynamics to the long-term impact of AI, tariff-driven inflation, and changes in the Fed’s balance-sheet strategy.
We explore why markets appear bullish on economic growth despite weakening employment data, how tariff inflation may be a one-time impulse, and what a redesigned policy framework could look like as banks, regulators, and political leaders debate the Fed’s future role.
If you want a grounded assessment of where monetary policy is heading and how structural changes could reshape markets, this episode provides
12-10-25 Market Sloppiness, Bitcoin Signals & Fed Week: Live Q&A
2025-12-10
It’s Fed Day, and today’s Live Q&A covers what investors should expect as markets position around the announcement, why volatility may pick up afterward, and how this week’s action shapes the potential for a Santa Claus Rally. We also discuss whether the Fed has stepped back from its inflation mandate, what that means for long bonds, and how Treasury supply-and-demand dynamics factor into portfolio risk.
Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff review the growth outlook for the AI sector, the power-cost assumptions built into datacenter models, the economic effects of the “One Big Beautiful Bill,” and the $125 billion in tariff revenue collected this year—along with what tariffs really contribute to inflation. Additional topics include how to read 2x–3x standard deviations using Bollinger Band
Affordability Crisis: Michael Green Challenges The Poverty Line
2025-12-10
Michael Green, Chief Strategist and Portfolio Manager at Simplify Asset Management, wrote a provocative Substack essay, Part 1: My Life Is A Lie, that is sparking a debate among economists and raising awareness of the affordability crisis. It’s not just the wonky economists debating the merits of his article; The Washington Post, CNN (News Central), …
10-24-25 Why Gold’s Boom Is More About Calls Than Coins
2025-10-24
$GLD rally isn’t real demand – it’s speculation disguised as strength.
In this short video, @michaellebowitz and I explain why the boom in call options, not central bank buying, is driving #gold surge and why a sharp correction may be next.
📺Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
10-21-25 5x ETFs & Margin Debt: The Hidden Risk BehindThe Year-End Rally Narrative
2025-10-21
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