Rallies Can Be Exit Traps After Selloffs
2026-02-09
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Value or Growth Is Not A Debate, Its An Opportunity
2026-02-06
At the start of 2026, we introduced our Factor Rotation Model. The model summary below was posted in SimpleVisor: We launched a new model on January 2nd called the Factor Rotation Model. Historically, the performance of value and growth factors relative to the S&P 500 exhibits a strong negative correlation. Michael Lebowitz provided an overview …
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12-29-25 Fed Liquidity, Housing Myths & Market Risk
2025-12-19
The Federal Reserve’s policy framework is quietly shifting—and investors should be paying close attention. Lance Roberts, Michael Lebowitz, and Danny Ratliff examine why the traditional push toward homeownership may be built on outdated assumptions, and how changing macroeconomic realities could challenge long-held financial narratives.
#FederalReserve #MarketLiquidity #HousingMyths #MacroOutlook #InvestorRisk
BLue Owl Roils The AI Narrative
2025-12-19
Blue Owl Capital spooked AI investors on Wednesday when the Financial Times reported that the firm, one of Oracle’s larger financing partners for major U.S. data centers, decided not to provide equity backing for a $10 billion data center Oracle is building in Michigan. This planned facility is part of Oracle’s collaboration with OpenAI under …
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12-16-25 Year-End Checklist for Young Investors
2025-12-16
As the year comes to a close, young investors have a unique opportunity to make small moves that can compound into meaningful long-term results. In this episode, we walk through a practical, end-of-year checklist designed for early-career investors who want to stay organized, tax-aware, and financially disciplined.
Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn cover how to confirm you’re capturing all available employer benefits, including 401(k) or 403(b) matches and vesting schedules. We also discuss how to think about Roth IRAs, HSAs, and other tax-advantaged accounts early in your career—when time is often your greatest asset.
On the investment side, we review simple allocation checks, diversification risks, and why staying invested through volatility matters. We also highlight tax-smart
Warsh Is In The Race: Fed Chair Odds In Flux
2025-12-16
Over the last few weeks, it seemed all but a done deal that Kevin Hassett would replace Jerome Powell as the next Fed Chair. That changed this past weekend as President Trump added Kevin Warsh alongside Hassett as his top Fed contenders. It’s likely that there are a couple of factors leading Trump to add …
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CAPE Valuations: Does Nvidia Overstate Its Ominous Warning?
2025-10-29
As equity valuations approach the record highs of 1999, investors are growing anxious. This unease is partly driven by the media issuing grim warnings, often based in part on CAPE valuations. Consider the following headlines and their summaries. The graph shows the S&P 500 and CAPE since 1920. Given how the market performed after the …
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