by Lance Roberts
My articles My offerMy siteAbout meMy videosMy books
Follow on:TwitterSeeking AlphaFacebookAmazon
| Markets got addicted to the Fed. In this Short video, I explain how years of interventions created a Pavlovian market where traders take bigger risks, expecting the Fed to save them every time — the essence of moral hazard. 📺Full episode: Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
You Might Also Like
9-9-25 Gold, Jobs & the Fed: Axel Merk’s Market Outlook
2025-09-12
From the Fed’s next move to the outlook for gold and gold miners, Axel Merk, CEO of Merk Investments, shares with Lance Roberts his take on today’s biggest market risks: The largest jobs revision ever, the Fed’s lagging response, why active management beats passive distortions, and how investors should think about risk, contrarian views, and the role of gold in their portfolios.
0:18 – Introduction of Alex Merk, CEO Merk Investments
2:01 – Annual revisions to BLS Employment Report – Largest negative revision to jobs in history.
4:20 – William Poole’s explanation of BLS numbers & methodology and why markets pay attention.
6:13 – Herbert Hoover’s belief in National Data for creating BLS numbers.
8:19 – The market trades off the data, whether you agree with it or not.
9:35 – How the
Main Street Optimism Ticks Higher Despite Hiring Challenges
2025-09-10
Main Street optimism edged higher in August, as the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose to 100.8. That reading sits above the long-term average of 98 but missed the consensus estimate of 101. Stronger sales expectations led the improvement, with a net 12% of owners anticipating higher real sales volumes. This represents a six-point jump …
Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps
2025-07-24
Japan and the US appear to have finalized a trade agreement that reduces the threatened 25% tariffs on Japan to 15%. Beyond the tariff rate, the deal has several important facets, including opening Japanese markets to US goods. However, most intriguing is that Japan will be financing the US with a $550 billion investment fund. …
7-23-25 Major Market Moves are Always Related to Credit or Forward Earnings Expectations
2025-07-23
The major market collapses of 1974, 1999, and 2008 were all similar in that they were caused by issues of credit or forward earnings expectations. If someone says markets are going to crash 50%, and it’s not because of credit or forward earnings expectations, it’s not a valid reason.
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
——-
➢ Watch Live Mon-Fri, 6a-7a Central on our Youtube Channel:
www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757
——-
Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025:
https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF
——-
➢ Sign up for the
Retail Speculation Is Back With A Vengeance
2025-07-21
Retail speculation is once again gripping the markets. A recent Wall Street Journal article highlighted how the latest retail gambling vehicle—zero-days-to-expiration (0DTE) options—has exploded in popularity. According to CBOE, trading volumes in these contracts have surged nearly sixfold over the past five years, with retail traders now accounting for more than half of all transactions. …
July Rate Cut Now Has One Fed Vote
2025-07-19
Fed Governor Christopher Waller was crystal clear in a speech on Thursday that he would like the Fed to cut rates in July. Importantly, consider the first line of his speech at NYU: My purpose this evening is to explain why I believe that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) should reduce our policy rate …
7-18-25 Money Scripts & Credit Scores
2025-07-18
Richard Rosso & Matt Doyle host Rich’s last live Radio-episode* and reveal the reason for Matt’s recent absence from the show. Airport Security parameters; strong start to Earnings Season; references to ’80’s TV sit-coms; market futures, Lance’s charts, the ultimate Death Cross; Richard previews Saturday’s (7/19) Candid Coffee, and the genesis of the partnership with Lance Roberts; understanding Money Scripts; Netflix & streaming services; Gen-Z and Social Media. Rich and Matt discuss the possibilities of Mrs. Roberts’ bakery/coffee shop; Retail Sales report analysis: People are still spending. The Paradox of Thrift, Fed meetings and a brief history of the Federal Reserve Banking System. Rich reviews American Express’ report, debt to income ratios and Money Scripts (Brad Klontz); how
Tags: Featured,newsletter
1 pings