9-3-24 “Past Performance is No Guarantee…”

2024-08-22

Markets are again approaching all-time highs, with the NASDAQ exhibiting a most v-like recovery, up 11% in ten days. Markets’ response to the largest (818-k) negative Jobs revision since 2009: Shrugs. FOMC meeting minutes indicate the time is "appropriate" for the Fed to lower rates. French women apparently have the longest life expectancy; Lance & Michael review FOMC meeting minutes and mentions of "appropriate time" to lower rates is now. So, far no leaks prior to Jackson Hole meeting. How WalMart is using AI to manage real-time sales/inventory data. The Fed knows jobs data is wrong. Is Jerome Powell Pinky or The Brain? There’s personal inflation and then there’s data the market looks at. The Fed doesn’t want deflation, and 2% inflation is healthy for stable economic growth.

3:17 –

2024-08-21

Why have portfolio performances been dragging? Lance Roberts examines the cause and effect phenomenon of public policy and outcomes, rhetoric and promises; who’ll control the House & Senate have more bearing on future legislation promised vs passed. Market breadth is expanding, which bodes well for bullish trends. Most of markets’ lift is coming from stock buy back activity. Interesting observation about the category launches of ETF’s: Most are derivative-based, adding risk for investors. Why your portfolio performance may be disappointing (how we screwed up the financial system). Lance and Danny discuss the performance gap between retail investors and the big funds: It’s all about weighting. Markets today are built for pricing momentum. Focusing on risk mitigation to protect your

2024-08-19

Previews of the DNC Convention and Jackson Hole meeting previews, plus four Fed speakers on tap this week; Monkey Pox & Covid on the upswing ahead of election season. Markets stage a phenomenal recovery over the past five days; could interest rates reverse? Kamalanomics: A historical perspective on Economic Cycles: Why Prices Controls will exacerbate inflation; the myth of price gouging; the Tytler Cycle revisited.

3:15 – Phenomenal Market Recovery – Could Interest Rates Reverse?
14:47 – Kamalanomics, Pt. 1: Fixing Inflation w Price Controls
30:19 – Kamalanomics, Pt.2: The Myth of Price Gouging
44:33 – Academy Carts & Anniversary Roombas
48:08 – Kamalanomics, Pt. 3: This is Nothing New: The Tytler Cycle (You are Here)

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts,

2024-08-15

July CPI clocks-on on-target for the Federal Reserve to cut rates, as it indicate inflation is trending downward. This would set-up the Fed for up to four rate cuts by the end of the year, but not so great for stocks. Watch for seasonal adjustments to Retail Sales reports. Markets will challenge 50-DMA, and could end its correction today. Your personal experience with inflation is not the same as Government calculations, which is what markets look at. CPI was on the money, and the trend is lower. Economic data can fluctuate monthly. Focus on trends for a clearer picture! Lance and Michael answer an email question about investing in Dividend Stocks; what does the Yield infer? Looking at the Peg ratio, and what indicators about a company matter. Dividend stocks vs growth stocks. What makes

2024-06-11

More than a few individuals were active in the markets in 1999-2000, but many participants today were not. Back then, the S&P 500, particularly the Nasdaq, rallied harder each day than the last. Market breadth looked pretty weak, as the big names were soaring, forcing indexers and ETFs to buy them to keep their weightings. The reinforcing positive feedback cycle fueled markets higher day after day. We are now witnessing investors chase anything related to “artificial Intelligence.” Just as the internet had companies adding a “dot.com” address to their corporate name in 1999, today, we are seeing an increasing number of companies announce an “AI” strategy in their corporate outlooks.

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO , w Senior Financial Advisor,

2024-06-10

Unemployment rate hits 4%, trend above 12-month average since start of year. Could this signal a recession? 📈 #economy #unemployment #recession

Lance Roberts discusses the significance of the recent unemployment rate trends. Tune in to understand why this could be a crucial economic indicator.
– Explanation of the current unemployment rate trends
– Comparison with the twelve-month average
– Historical context of above-average unemployment rates
– Correlation with recessions
– Clarification on the current state of the economy

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2024-06-04

Should you wait until after the Presidential Election to invest? Are you considering market timing as a strategy? Lance Roberts breaks down the pitfalls and risks of trying to predict the market: Challenges of predicting market trends months in advance; Consequences of sitting out of the market until a specific event; the trap of waiting for the perfect moment to invest; How market run-ups can leave you behind; The psychological cycle that keeps investors indecisive. Launching June market trading and looking ahead; the continuing saga of E*Trade, Roaring Kitty, and GameStop. Economic data continues to weaken; expectations for Fed rate cuts this year are now back up to two. Markets’ morning selloff, afternoon rally back into the green pattern continues, thanks to EOD institutional buying;

2024-03-28

If Fed Chairman Jerome Powell doesn’t appreciate the difference between financial and borrowing conditions, we must assume most investors do not either. The current combination of easy financial conditions and tight borrowing conditions makes monetary policy difficult for the Fed to balance. At times, like today, financial and borrowing conditions can be at odds with each other, which makes the Fed’s job of managing monetary policy more difficult. Threading the eye of this needle may prove problematic given that inflation remains too high and, more recently, is showing some signs of being sticky.

Hosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer