by Lance Roberts
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| War headlines spark sharp reactions—oil jumps, stocks dip, the dollar firms—but history shows these moves are usually temporary. Markets price uncertainty fast, then refocus on what truly drives long-term returns: earnings, cash flow, and forward guidance. The key question isn’t how dramatic the news sounds. It’s whether it permanently changes corporate profitability. Some sectors may benefit short term, others may sell off, but once fear fades, capital flows back to fundamentals. Volatility is emotional, earnings are structural. 📺Full episode: Catch Lance Roberts daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
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Speculative Narrative Unwinds
2026-02-09
For nearly two years, markets were driven by the same speculative narrative that “this time is different.” Bitcoin, precious metals, and AI-linked equities rose not only because of robust fundamentals, but also because investors clung to powerful narratives about inflation, disruption, and monetary collapse. Those speculative narratives are not only seductive but also contribute to …
2-6-26 Skate to Where the Money Is Going Next
2026-02-07
Most investors lose money by chasing whatever narrative is hot, whether it’s $SLV or $MSTR.
Real investing is about anticipating where capital will rotate next and building positions gradually, not trying to time exact bottoms or going all in.
Start small, size positions wisely, and let rotations work in your favor.
In this short video, Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss why fundamentals matter more than headlines, and being early matters more than being fast.
📺Full episode: _IPrDUg
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
2-5-26 Truflation vs CPI: What Inflation Is Really Doing Today
2026-02-05
Is inflation actually cooling—or just being measured differently?
Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down Truflation’s real-time inflation readings (built from millions of point-of-purchase prices across multiple providers) versus the official CPI/PCE framework, which relies far more on surveys and sampling.
We’ll also address the big caveat: neither CPI/PCE nor Truflation perfectly captures what you feel “in the shops,” because inflation varies by geography, income group, and what you actually buy. The aggregate number can hide the lived experience.
0:00 – INTRO
0:19 – Employment Data Continues to Weaken
4:10 – Finishing up Earnings Season
10:36 – Truflation & Kevin Warsh’s Hawkishness
12:36 – The Truflation Conundrum vs CPI
16:12 – The Reflation Trade vs Real Economy
20:49 –
SpaceX: A Financial And Strategic Windfall For Google
2025-12-15
In 2015, Google wrote a $900 million check to SpaceX for a roughly 7.5% stake in Elon Musk’s budding aerospace/rocket company. At the time, SpaceX was valued at $12 billion. Ten years later, Google’s early investment in SpaceX is now being framed as a great trade, not just because of the massive profit it will …
12-26-25 Legacy Conversations for the Holidays
2025-12-12
The holidays bring families together—but they also create a rare opportunity to talk about something that truly matters: legacy.
Richard Rosso & Sarah Buenger explore how thoughtful, well-framed conversations about money, wishes, and values can become one of the greatest gifts you give your family. Research shows that nearly 70% of parents have never discussed inheritance with their children, often leaving confusion, conflict, or unresolved questions behind.
Questions lead to stories. Stories lead to understanding. And understanding builds a legacy that lasts beyond the holidays.
0:00 – INTRO
0:20 Santa’s Elves & Christmas Ornaments
2:15 – parents who don’t tell children about their inheritance.
3:21 – Holiday Legacy Guide
5:41 -Thoughtful conversations: Talking about Money is
10-27-25 The Most Dangerous Era in History
2025-10-27
We’re living through one of the most dangerous eras in history — not because of war or politics alone, but because of the extraordinary convergence of economic, financial, and geopolitical risks.
In this episode, we break down:
* How record global debt, AI-driven speculation, and geopolitical instability are colliding.
* Why the current market optimism masks systemic fragility.
* What investors can learn from past cycles — from 1929 to 2008 — to prepare for the next regime shift.
* The role of central banks, fiscal excess, and policy distortions that have created a fragile illusion of stability.
0:18 – EOM Approaches, Rare Earth, & the China Deal
4:28 – Markets Set New Highs
8:57 – Lance’s Grandkid Solution
10:28 – The Dumbest Stock Market in History
12:53 – Why Are Markets trading at
Dollar Debasement: Reality Or A Dangerous Narrative?
2025-10-22
Gold prices are soaring. And with each tick higher, more and more market pundits and investors are coming out of the woodwork, asserting that dollar debasement is the reason. Is that the correct reason, or might gold be in a momentum-fueled speculative bubble like many other assets? The answer has significant implications for the price …
SRF: The Fed’s Newest Liquidity Backstop In Action
2025-10-20
In July of 2021, after the pandemic and the liquidity issues that arose in 2019, the Fed established a new liquidity backstop. This program, the Standing Repo Facility (SRF), allows financial institutions to borrow on a collateralized basis from the Fed. Unlike the Overnight Reverse Repurchase facility (ON RRP), which allows financial institutions to park …
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