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| This QE is not the kind that launches stocks into a runaway bull market. In this Short video, Michael Lebowitz and I discuss why today’s liquidity injections are far smaller than past cycles and why headline charts are overstating their impact. 📺Full episode: Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
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12-24-25 The Fed at a Crossroads – Joseph Wang Interview
2025-12-12
The Federal Reserve is entering a pivotal phase, and the decisions it makes now will define the next era of monetary policy. Lance Roberts and The Fed Guy, Joseph Wang, examine the structural forces putting the Fed at a crossroads—from rate cuts and shifting labor-market dynamics to the long-term impact of AI, tariff-driven inflation, and changes in the Fed’s balance-sheet strategy.
We explore why markets appear bullish on economic growth despite weakening employment data, how tariff inflation may be a one-time impulse, and what a redesigned policy framework could look like as banks, regulators, and political leaders debate the Fed’s future role.
If you want a grounded assessment of where monetary policy is heading and how structural changes could reshape markets, this episode provides
12-10-25 Market Sloppiness, Bitcoin Signals & Fed Week: Live Q&A
2025-12-10
It’s Fed Day, and today’s Live Q&A covers what investors should expect as markets position around the announcement, why volatility may pick up afterward, and how this week’s action shapes the potential for a Santa Claus Rally. We also discuss whether the Fed has stepped back from its inflation mandate, what that means for long bonds, and how Treasury supply-and-demand dynamics factor into portfolio risk.
Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff review the growth outlook for the AI sector, the power-cost assumptions built into datacenter models, the economic effects of the “One Big Beautiful Bill,” and the $125 billion in tariff revenue collected this year—along with what tariffs really contribute to inflation. Additional topics include how to read 2x–3x standard deviations using Bollinger Band
2025-12-10
Michael Green, Chief Strategist and Portfolio Manager at Simplify Asset Management, wrote a provocative Substack essay, Part 1: My Life Is A Lie, that is sparking a debate among economists and raising awareness of the affordability crisis. It’s not just the wonky economists debating the merits of his article; The Washington Post, CNN (News Central), …
10-21-25 Cash Value Life Insurance: Smart Strategy or Costly Mistake?
2025-10-21
Cash value life insurance often sparks debate — is it a smart financial tool or an expensive way to mix insurance with investing? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down how cash value life insurance actually works and where it may (or may not) fit into your overall financial picture.
0:18 – Preview – Life Insurance & BYOB, Earnings Season Continues
6:00 – Markets Confirm Bullish Trend
10:55 – Private Credit Fund Warning – Subprime Credit Danger
18:22 – Whole Life Insurance Explained
19:51 – Whole Life vs Term, ULI, VUL
22:54 – Why Dave Ramsey is Wrong About Insurance
23:44 – The Math – Term vs Whole Life
25:51 – Why You Need Insurance
29:16 – Overfunding Strategies & Be Your Own Bank
32:49 – Whole Life vs Term (again)
37:59 – Beware Blanket Statements – Do the Research
39:28 – MEC –
Joe Weisenthal’s Take Down Of The ‘Debasement’ Trade
2025-10-21
Bloomberg’s Joe Weisenthal wrote an interesting article (Maybe ‘Debasement’ Isn’t The Best Way To Put it), sharing his opinion on the rising popularity of the so-called debasement trade. The debasement trade logic that Joe generally debunks is growing very popular in the media, per the Bloomberg graph below. While Joe thinks the debasement trade logic …
2025-08-27
In his 1687 book, Philosophiae Naturalis Principia Mathematica, Sir Isaac Newton defined momentum as the product of mass and velocity, or p = m * v. The reason we begin with a physics lesson is that momentum strategies are very popular, and Isaac Newton’s famous formula can teach us a lot about financial asset momentum. …
Balance Of Risks Allows Powell To Pivot
2025-08-25
“Nonetheless, with policy in restrictive territory, the baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance.” That key line from Chairman Powell’s opening speech at the Fed’s Jackson Hole symposium effectively summarizes Powell’s view on monetary policy. Simply, the change in the balance of risks since the BLS jobs revisions …
Market Valuations Don’t Matter…Until They Do
2025-08-23
🔎 At a Glance 💬 Ask a Question Have a question about the markets, your portfolio, or a topic you’d like us to cover in a future newsletter? 📩 Email: [email protected]🐦 Follow & DM on X: @LanceRoberts📰 Subscribe on Substack: @LanceRoberts We read every message and may feature your question in next week’s issue! 🏛️ …
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