by Lance Roberts
My articles My offerMy siteAbout meMy videosMy books
Follow on:TwitterSeeking AlphaFacebookAmazon
| Plenty of things to move markets this week, including economic numbers and multiple Fed members' commentaries on why they did what they did last week. Are there more cuts to come? Millennial Earnings Season and no buy backs will impact markets soon. Is the AI trade dead? Don't count on it. Micron turned in a strong earnings report, and the CIA's own AI investments(?) are doing verrry well. Markets' short term Cup & Handle formation confirmed Wednesday; this is now the second-biggest year for equities inflows since 2014. However, there are negative divergences from market trends indicating the current upward trajectory may be nearing an end. The Fed's rate cut was a "normalization" cut; there are disturbing signs in the labor market. Just like real estate's "location, location, location" mantra, the market is all about "liquidity, liquidity, liquidity." There is a large divergence between markets and sentiment. Lance explains what Red Robin is (and why he's a VIP there); Rate cuts and bond yields: why they track inflation. Downward revisions to GDP will help bond yields; why paying attention to pricing (market psychology) is important; part of the cycle. Lance and Michael talk Technical Analysis and adhering to the fundamentals helps build investor discipline. What happens when too much money is chasing too few stocks. PCE news will help determine direction of the market. Yield curves and Agency REITs during steepening. 3:13 - Is the AI Trade Dead? Not hardly 14:27 - This Was the "Normalization Cut" By the Fed 30:21 - Red Robin VIP, Rate Cuts, & Bond Yields 44:30 - Why Technical Analysis Doesn't Work for Everyone...but could Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Agency REITs For A Bull Steepener" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/agency-reits-for-a-bull-steepener/ "50 Basis Point Rate Cut – A Review And Outlook" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/50-basis-point-rate-cut-a-review-and-outlook/ "Analysis Of The Market As The Fed Cuts Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Flow Trumps Thesis" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_qzcif6GGmc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=1s ------- Our previous show is here: "Rate Cuts & Recession Fears: Will Politics Drive Your Portfolio Off a Cliff?" &list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RecessionFears #RateCuts #PortfolioManagement #FedRateCut2024 #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing |
You Might Also Like
Master Basic Technical Analysis to Understand Market Movements
2024-09-25
Want to understand technical analysis? Learn the basics like moving averages, RSI, and MACD. It’s like a window into the market activity! 📊💰 #StockMarket
Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/5314f7
YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow
9-23-24 Will this Week’s Data Support Fed Rationale for Cutting Rates?
2024-09-23
We’re entering the last-half of September, which is typically the weaker period of an already, traditionally weak month in the markets. Earnings seasons is about to beging, and Q3 estimates have already been slashed; this isn’t 1995, though: Is the Fed’s rationaled for cutting raates going to be validated by this week’s economic data? Markets ended slightly lower on Friday, but still holding onto breakout level. Lance relate’s Mrs. Robert’s most recent holiday decor disappointment, and announces news substack channel, @lanceroberts. Shocker: The Washington Post debunks climate change data. Lance’s daughter turns 18, wants to be a veterinarian; he can taste a rate cut coming. What’s the Fed’s rationale for it’s rate cut? Charts & a history of rate cuts and reacitons. This time is NOT like
9-12-24 Did Inflation Change the Fed’s Outlook?
2024-09-12
Inflation eased to new three-year lows, teeing up the Fed to begin gradually reducing interest rates at a meeting next week. But will they?
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
——-
Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation:
https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator
——-
Articles mentioned in this report:
"S&P 500 – A Bullish And Bearish Analysis"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-a-bullish-and-bearish-analysis/
"Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/
"Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns"
7-30-24 Why Market Comparisons Can Hinder Your Portfolio’s Performance
2024-07-30
Earnings season continues with 39% of S&P reporting this week; by week’s end, 79% of companies will have shared results…and the buy back window opens anew. The Fed meeting begins today, with a slim chance for a surprise rate cut; a more dovish tone will encourage markets, however, and anticipate rate cut by September. Commentary on markets’ 3% correction & Japanese Yen carry trade effects. Addressing the correct response to correction: Average returns are not the norm; risk on/off behaviors. Anchoring life events: What’s the best anchoring for portfolios? Lance and Jon discuss a common mistake investors make when evaluating their portfolio performance, and explains why comparing your returns to the overall market is not always the best approach: The worst thing investors do is compare
7-26-24 Should You Tap Your Home Equity for Retirement Income?
2024-07-26
Rich & Danny recap Danny’s recent accident; Rich’s market summary includes a preview of today’s PCE release. Markets are awaiting confirmation of a trend. Dealing with the election fallout on your money; markets have already priced-in everything you know. PCE will move markets today; there is still $500-billion in unspent government funds from the Inflation Reduction Act. Dealing with data breaches. Retirees’ biggest worry is about income: What is the biggest source of income for most Americans? Their house & home equity…and SS, a forced pension. Benefits of a HELOC–get one early, and don’t touch it. The best use of "buffer assets." Thinking of HELOC’s and reverse mortgages as "unfreezing" liquidity in the frozen asset of your home. Retiremnent is about depleting assets; you’re no
7-22-24 Analyzing the Potential Impact of a Kamala Harris Presidency
2024-07-22
Lance discusses the markets’ potential reaction to Biden’s exit from Presidential race, and whether markets’ rotation out of mega-cap stocks is sustainable; a rewind to February market conditions compared to now: A correction is expected before the election. Commentary on keeping market corrections into context; the mega-cap rotation and fewer medium- and small-cap companies from which to choose: 40% of these are unprofitable companies. As companies complete their quarterly reports, buy back will again be enabled, and that activity will add to market volume. Lance explores the potential impact of a Kamala Harris presidency. What sectors could benefit from her leadership and policies? An overview of Harris’s potential presidency and expected policy focus areas; implications for clean
Mastering Hurdle Rates: How to Achieve Financial Success
2024-07-17
Ever wonder about hurdle rates in your financial plan? It’s the key return needed for success. Patience is key in investing. No shortcuts! 💰 #FinanceTips
Want to learn more? Subscribe to our YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow
Tags: Featured,newsletter
13 pings
Skip to comment form ↓