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12-10-25 Market Sloppiness, Bitcoin Signals & Fed Week: Live Q&A

It’s Fed Day, and today’s Live Q&A covers what investors should expect as markets position around the announcement, why volatility may pick up afterward, and how this week’s action shapes the potential for a Santa Claus Rally. We also discuss whether the Fed has stepped back from its inflation mandate, what that means for long bonds, and how Treasury supply-and-demand dynamics factor into portfolio risk.

Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff review the growth outlook for the AI sector, the power-cost assumptions built into datacenter models, the economic effects of the “One Big Beautiful Bill,” and the $125 billion in tariff revenue collected this year—along with what tariffs really contribute to inflation. Additional topics include how to read 2x–3x standard deviations using Bollinger Band concepts, which data streams matter most (and where to find them), the link between inflation and economic growth, and practical insights on silver, ETF buy-and-hold strategies, NUA planning, valuation challenges when stocks trade at 25x earnings, and the realities of the “dollar debasement” narrative. As always, we approach these discussions pragmatically: no magic bullets, and market cycles end when they end.

Use the chapter markers below to jump to any topic.

0:00 - INTRO
0:18 - Fed Day Anticipation
4:28 - More Market Volatility Possible Following Fed Meeting
9:14 - Getting ready for Santa
10:02 - Has the Fed given up on their inflation mandate?
13:31 - What's the impact on Long bonds?
15:35 - What is the outlook for AI sector growth?
18:30 -Do Datacenter owners use models assuming power subsidization?
19:06 - What is the impact on the economy from the One Big Beautiful Bill?
22:45 - How much in tariffs have been collected this year? $125-B
25:23 - Explain 2x, 3x standard deviations from average (Bollinger Band articles)
28:43 - What data to watch (and where can you find it)?
31:15 - Inflation: true impact of tariffs? True sources of Inflation: No inflation, no economic growth
35:37 - Silver: Advisors' Kryptonite? (Don't forget to take profits.)
39:29 - Is buy-and-hold with ETF's a good passive investing policy?
43:56 - Does it worry you that the treasury refi uses all T-bills?
45:18 - Is Dollar Debasement real? No--it's a narrative.
46:09 - Using NUA Tax Strategies
46:55 - Buying stocks at 25x
48-48 - Treasury Yields supply & demand dynamics
49:44 - Buying stocks at multiples and valuations
51:10 - Measuring risk in portfolio (60/40 allocation)
53:33 - Our pragmatism
54:36 - No magic bullet - bubbles pop when they pop (Chart: running trend line)
58:05 - Coming Attractions

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel:
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Pause Before the Fed: Time to Trim Risk?," is here:
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Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:
"Bullish Case Or Bearish Backdrop"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bullish-case-or-bearish-backdrop/
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REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:"
https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator
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Watch our previous show, "Dealing with Debt & Smart Money Moves" here:
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#StockMarket #FedDecision #MarketVolatility #TechnicalAnalysis #BitcoinUpdate
#MarketOutlook #BitcoinUpdate #FedMeeting #YearEndRally #InvestingQandA
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Lance Roberts
Finally, financial news that makes sense. Lance Roberts, the host of "StreetTalkLive", has a unique ability to bring the complex world of economics, investing and personal financial wealth building to you in simple, easy and informative ways but also makes it entertaining to listen to at the same time.
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