9-25-24 Rate Cuts & Recession Fears: Will Politics Drive Your Portfolio Off a Cliff?

2024-08-27

📈 Understanding data trends is crucial! 📊 Inflation drives the economy. Stay informed for smart investments. 💡 #EconomicInsights #DataTrends

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2024-08-20

Gen Z values experiences over material possessions. Are storage units the new trend for sentimental attachment? 🤔 #Minimalism #GenZ

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2024-06-18

Markets are trading in a holiday-shortened week, thanks to the Juneteenth Holiday Wednesday. 50% of companies are now in stock buy back blackout period. Retail Sales report preview; a function of Consumer sentiment. Five Fed speakers out and about today; markets started weakly, then rallied 1%. Volume and breadth are weakening; markets are very over-bought and extremely deviated from DMA’s; when correction comes… Is consumer sentiment on the rise? How best to balance portfolio mix (charts). When will the "Next Big One" come along? Query about going from 90/10 portfolio to 100% equities; you can always find a reason not to invest. Bonds vs T-bills vs Equities; What to do when there are no high-yiled, low-risk options? How to manage risk in volatile rate environment; why you should look

2024-06-17

📈 James Grant predicts a cyclical rise in interest rates for the next few decades. Lance Roberts explains why he sees things differently. 🏠💰 #InterestRates #Economy #Finance

Lance Roberts discusses the impact of higher interest rates on the economy and shares insights from an interview with James Grant. Discover how cyclical patterns and rising rates can shape the future.
– Impact of higher interest rates on homeowners
– Borrowing costs and their effect on consumption
– Economic implications of rising rates
– James Grant’s perspective on cyclical interest rate patterns
– Potential multi-decade rise in interest rates

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2024-06-17

On Wednesday, the May inflation print came in cooler than expected, sending stock and bond prices higher. Such is interesting, considering the still numerous “perpetually bearish” commentators suggest that inflation will surge due to increasing debts and deficits. However, the inflation trend remains lower as economic growth continues to slow. The correlation between smoothed PCE prices, economic growth, and inflation remains high. Therefore, as economic activity (demand) slows, prices fall as supply increases. The increasing debts and deficits are not inflationary. They are, in fact, deflationary, as the debt service redirects increasing amounts of income from productive uses. Unless something changes, the inflation print will fall further as economic growth slows, and the forces

2024-06-06

Small caps and mid caps may become favorable investments in the future, especially after a period of slow economic growth or recession when excess stimulus has been absorbed. #investing #economy

Are small caps the future of investment opportunities? Join host Lance Roberts as he breaks down the crucial moments to consider for small and mid-cap stocks.
– Current state of mid caps and small caps
– Earnings performance of small caps
– Economic indicators impacting small caps
– Timing for small cap investments
– Effect of economic growth or recession on small caps

➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757

➢ Watch Live Mon-Fri, 6a-7a Central on our Youtube Channel:
www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow

2024-04-01

PCE Inflation is weaker, yet consumer spending remains robust; the Atlanta Fed is forecasting 2.3% GDP for Q2. Is this period nirvana for the Fed? The Relative Strength Index is stuck at 70. Markets continue a low-volatility advance, seemingly floating higher. The current environment typically leads to market correction. The next round of earnings commences next week; it will be unsurprising that to see a high percentage of companies “beat” Wall Street estimates. (The high beat rate is always the case due to the sharp downward revisions in analysts’ estimates as the reporting period begins.) Are investors paying more for less? California’s new $20.hr minimum wage goes into effect today; cast study to come. The realities of the cost of labor; at what point do consumers say, "enough."

2024-03-27

The Sentiment Index is hanging in, despite weakening regional surveys; economists see no recession in sight; bank reserves have been rising since October 2022. End of quarter rebalancing is generating some activity; after three-days of selling, market futures are positive this morning. Watch markets’ steep angle of ascent; this is not sustainable, and correction will result sooner or later. Lance’s unique inflation indicator… Markets still act like there’s a flood of liquidity when there’s not; markets are bifurcated; Houston real estate is insane. Can Wall Street save your retirement? Larry Fink thinks so, or at least wants you to think he can; Blackrock & Merrill want to hold your money forever. Creation of Merrill’s Target Date Fund. Why Annuities are so lucrative; three reasons why