by Lance Roberts
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| Everyone expects strong economic growth, falling inflation, and endless Fed cuts. In this short video, Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss why that combo is far from guaranteed—and how a pause (or even hike) could hit valuations fast. 📺Full episode: Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
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Stagnation Is Lulling The Fed To Sleep
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The JOLTs data released on Wednesday paint a picture of labor market stagnation. The graph below shows that the number of job openings has fallen to levels similar to those right before the pandemic. While the number of openings seems somewhat stable, layoffs are slowly increasing, while new hires are near a 15-year low. Similarly, …
Precious Metals Aren’t Predicting Economic Collapse
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In 2025, the prices of precious metals rose sharply, with silver prices recently surging past $80 per ounce. Of course, when precious metals rise, there is always the same group of commentators (mostly paid newsletter writers and physical metal dealers) to declare that a financial breakdown is underway. Articles like those published on ZeroHedge by …
The Bearish Bond Narrative Fades
2025-11-14
Not that long ago, bond yields were rising as concerns over deficits, inflation, and a series of bad Treasury auctions were paraded through the media. We bring this to your attention as the Ten-year Treasury auction on Wednesday was on the weaker side, yet the bond market reaction was minimal. Additionally, government deficits are just …
11-13-25 QE Is Coming: Why Fed Liquidity Now Runs the Entire Market
2025-11-13
The scent of QE is back.
With overnight funding markets flashing early stress and NY Fed President John Williams hinting at “gradual asset purchases,” it’s clear: the liquidity cycle is turning again.
But the real question is why markets have become so dependent on the Fed in the first place.
Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down how the 2008 financial crisis fundamentally rewired market plumbing, sidelined private liquidity providers, and turned the Federal Reserve into the primary—and often the only—source of liquidity in the financial system.
0:00 – INTRO
0:20 – Government Shutdown Concludes – Deluge of Data to Follow
3:04 – Dow 48,000
9:43 – Will the Fed Cut Rates?
13:21 – Why the Rush to Cut Rates?
17:14 – What’s Causing Turmoil at the Fed?
20:42 – What Changed w Bank
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