by Lance Roberts
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| Markets are heading into year-end with optimism still firmly embedded in prices, but the economic data are telling a more complicated story. Lance Roberts examines the growing gap between the Federal Reserve’s soft-landing narrative and what inflation, employment, consumer spending, and earnings expectations are actually signaling. While markets have stabilized following recent volatility, participation remains narrow, sentiment is elevated, and valuations appear priced for a smooth economic outcome in 2026. #FederalReserve #MarketOutlook #EconomicData #InvestingRisk #StockMarket |
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11-12-25 December Rate Cut Back in Play
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Soft jobs data and falling rents point to weaker inflation ahead, setting the stage for a potential Fed rate cut in December.
In this short video, I explain why this slowdown may be exactly what the market needs to keep the rally alive.
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OpenAI Seeks Government Support
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Sarah Friar, OpenAI’s CFO, spoke at a Wall Street Journal technology conference to update the audience on the potential of AI. While her comments were very optimistic, she noted that OpenAI seeks continued capital inflows, highlighting the lynchpin for AI development. Her quote below, courtesy of Bloomberg, takes traditional bank and industry financing a step …
9/22/25 Stock Market Outlook: Bullish or Bearish?
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Are markets set to keep climbing, or are we staring down the next pullback? Lance Roberts breaks down the bullish vs. bearish case for stocks, exploring what could fuel the rally—and what risks could trip it up.
From the Federal Reserve’s latest moves, to earnings trends, market breadth, and money flows, we’ll cover the key factors driving sentiment. Whether you lean bullish or bearish, this analysis will help you understand the forces shaping today’s market.
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9/17/25 Big Day: Fed Day
2025-09-17
It’s Fed Day – the most anticipated event for markets this month. The Federal Reserve’s rate decision and Jerome Powell’s press conference could shape the direction for stocks, bonds, and the economy heading into year-end.
Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down:
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Stay tuned for clear insights on how today’s FOMC meeting could set the tone for investors into Q4.
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Retail Traders Are Driving Euphoria
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Recent surges in speculative stocks are among several indicators that retail traders are introducing a bit of euphoria to the stock market. In an interesting article, MarketWatch notes that Wall Street is paying close attention to speculative trading behavior among retail traders. The following is from the article: Barclays strategists led by Venu Krishna have …
7-24-25 How AI is Driving the Market
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Artificial intelligence is no longer the future—it’s the engine behind today’s market moves. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down how AI and machine learning are reshaping investing strategies, influencing algorithmic trading, and transforming financial analysis. Lance looks at earnings season and esla’s results; there’s nothing wrong with the markets, but all the ingredients are in place for a market reversion; what will be the catalyst? Lance corrects himself on esla comments; Lane and Michael hash over the impact of AI on market trading, and the pro’s and con’s of algorithmic trading; AI can tell you what to buy, but what about when to sell? Jerome Powell is in a pickle with an over-budget Fed Building redux and an unhappy Boss (DJ). What would a Powell removal do for markets?
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