Mainstream Expectations: Hope Vs. Potential Risk
2026-01-30
Mainstream expectations, those from Wall Street, economists, and corporate strategists, have congealed around a bullish economic outlook for 2026. Most forecasts project stronger economic growth, with contained inflation, and continued investment in technology and capital expenditure. As such, many institutional investors interpret this as a year of opportunity for markets and corporate earnings.That was a …
Continue reading »
The Reflation Narrative Stumbles Out Of The Gate
2026-01-26
With a 4.4% increase in economic growth in the third quarter and expectations that it could be higher in the fourth quarter, the so-called reflation narrative appears primed to dash out of the gates in 2026 at its current strong pace. The problem with assuming the reflation narrative will hold in 2026 is that it …
Continue reading »
Bull Market Genius Is A Dangerous Thing
2025-12-15
During extended upward-trending markets that reward risk-takers and punish caution, everyone is a “bull market genius.” That dynamic flips investor psychology and, over time, creates a false sense of control. As the market continues to climb, risk appears to vanish, and investors believe that nothing can go wrong, leading them to take on increasing levels …
Continue reading »
A Third Of US Debt Matures In 2026
2025-12-12
We received the following question from a client: “I was at a conference where they showed that roughly a third of the currently existing US Government debt is set to mature in the next few years. How can we pay it back?” A third of the approximately $30 trillion in US Treasury debt equates to …
Continue reading »
Money Supply Growth: A Thesis With A Fatal Flaw
2025-10-24
Recently, MarketWatch ran a provocative headline: âWhen the worldâs largest asset manager and the Bond King both agree: Run to gold, silver, and bitcoin.â The article highlighted how Larry Finkâs BlackRock and Jeffrey Gundlach, often dubbed the âBond King,â see deficits and âmoney printingâ as reasons for investors to escape fiat currencies and pile into …
Continue reading »
10-23-25 Dollar Debasement: Reality Or Dangerous Narrative?
2025-10-23
Goldâs rally has investors shouting âdollar debasement!â â but is the narrative real, or just a speculative illusion?
Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the popular debasement argument and expose the facts behind the gold surge. From money supply trends to Fed policy and global confidence in the U.S. dollar, we separate the data from the hype.
0:19 – Stresses Emerging in Lower End of Economy
4:45 – The Oil Price Pop
6:35 -Good News – Bads News on Wall Street
10:38 -CPI Preview Despite Government Furlough
15:32 – Bond Market Expectations for Economic Growth
17:58 – The Challenge of Managing Money for the Future
20:11 – Wall Street is Selling 5x Leverage
24:47 – Liquidity is Showing Signs of Drying Up
26:42 – Debasement is Not a Room in Your House
29:42 – Where Does Money Come
2 pings