Lance Roberts
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| Real-time inflation (Truflation) data is signaling sub-1% inflation, and historically CPI and PCE tend to follow it lower with a short lag. That puts pressure on hawkish policy narratives. At the same time, consumer spending is staying elevated while incomes are flat and savings have fallen to stressed levels. In this short video, Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss the risk of a growing disconnect between the reflation narrative and the true health of the economy, pointing to potential downside ahead. 📺Full episode: _IPrDUg Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
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Mainstream Expectations: Hope Vs. Potential Risk
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Bull Market Genius Is A Dangerous Thing
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During extended upward-trending markets that reward risk-takers and punish caution, everyone is a “bull market genius.” That dynamic flips investor psychology and, over time, creates a false sense of control. As the market continues to climb, risk appears to vanish, and investors believe that nothing can go wrong, leading them to take on increasing levels …
A Third Of US Debt Matures In 2026
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We received the following question from a client: “I was at a conference where they showed that roughly a third of the currently existing US Government debt is set to mature in the next few years. How can we pay it back?” A third of the approximately $30 trillion in US Treasury debt equates to …
Money Supply Growth: A Thesis With A Fatal Flaw
2025-10-24
Recently, MarketWatch ran a provocative headline: “When the world’s largest asset manager and the Bond King both agree: Run to gold, silver, and bitcoin.” The article highlighted how Larry Fink’s BlackRock and Jeffrey Gundlach, often dubbed the “Bond King,” see deficits and “money printing” as reasons for investors to escape fiat currencies and pile into …
10-23-25 Dollar Debasement: Reality Or Dangerous Narrative?
2025-10-23
Gold’s rally has investors shouting “dollar debasement!” — but is the narrative real, or just a speculative illusion?
Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the popular debasement argument and expose the facts behind the gold surge. From money supply trends to Fed policy and global confidence in the U.S. dollar, we separate the data from the hype.
0:19 – Stresses Emerging in Lower End of Economy
4:45 – The Oil Price Pop
6:35 -Good News – Bads News on Wall Street
10:38 -CPI Preview Despite Government Furlough
15:32 – Bond Market Expectations for Economic Growth
17:58 – The Challenge of Managing Money for the Future
20:11 – Wall Street is Selling 5x Leverage
24:47 – Liquidity is Showing Signs of Drying Up
26:42 – Debasement is Not a Room in Your House
29:42 – Where Does Money Come
Why Keynes’ Economic Theories Failed In Reality
2025-09-05
A recent post from Daniel Lacalle, “How Keynesians Got The US Economy Wrong Again,” exposed the widening gap between John Maynard Keynes’ economic theory and reality. Despite the confident forecasts of leading Keynesian economists, the U.S. economy in 2025 continues to defy expectations. The Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle failed to trigger the widely predicted “hard …
9-3-25 Why Most People Fail at Day Trading
2025-09-03
It’s an interesting conundrum that some retirees go into day trading as a "side gig," which in turn becomes another full time job, monitoring all of the data and news. Just because you have access to information doesn’t mean you have to act upon it. Sometimes it’s better to let the dust settle before making a move.
RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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