by Lance Roberts
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| AI is pressuring software margins, but the market has pushed this narrative to an extreme. Just like past cycles, investors are extrapolating disruption into total collapse. SaaS stocks $IGV are now deeply oversold, with many down 40–60% $NOW $CRM and valuations near cycle lows. Some companies will fail, but the entire sector won’t disappear. Stepping away from the hype and analyzing businesses—not headlines—is how real opportunities begin to form, even if the selloff isn’t finished yet. 📺Full episode: -H-lG3A Catch Lance Roberts daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
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12-30-25 What People Get Wrong About Inflation & Prices ️
2025-12-30
Prices aren’t meant to fall in a healthy economy. Inflation is necessary for growth and rising wages, which is why the Fed targets 2%. In this short video, Tom Zizka and I discuss why falling prices usually signal recession—not relief—and once prices reset higher, they rarely return to old lows. If you like this video, please ❤️like and 🔁share!
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How The Fed Deals Liquidity: The Monetary Toolbox
2025-11-19
In our last article, QE Is Coming, we focused on why the capital and financial markets have become so dependent on the Fed for liquidity. The article explains that, in the aftermath of the crisis, a slew of regulations drastically changed the liquidity landscape. As a result, the Fed—not the private market—is now the primary …
11-17-25 Full Market Cycles: Why Bull Runs Always Meet Their Match
2025-11-17
Full market cycles matter more today than at any point in the last 15 years. Lance Roberts breaks down why valuations, history, and market structure all point to a simple truth:
Every bull market is only half the story. The other half is the bear. Lance’s approach isn’t bullish or bearish. It’s risk-focused. Your job as an investor isn’t to predict the next crash—it’s to avoid catastrophic losses that erase years of gains during the completion of a full market cycle.
0:00 – INTRO
0:27 – Market Moves Will Hinge on Nvidia
4:18 – Markets’ 3rd Test of 50-DMA
8:46 – Why Berkshire Lags the S&P
10:36 – Economic Acceleration Expectations for 2026
14:01 – Consumer Spending Drives Economic Growth
17:42 – Economic Consolidation is Underway
21:45 – Half of Expected Cap-Ex Spending Will Support
Data Center Debt: Can Oracle Hang With The Big Boys?
2025-11-13
Meta and Google recently borrowed a combined $55 billion in the corporate bond market. As we share below, this debt represents a new source of funding for data center expansion. Further, as shown in orange, Oracle tapped the private market for loans to secure the capital needed to sustain AI innovation and the related data …
11-12-25 December Rate Cut Back in Play
2025-11-12
Soft jobs data and falling rents point to weaker inflation ahead, setting the stage for a potential Fed rate cut in December.
In this short video, I explain why this slowdown may be exactly what the market needs to keep the rally alive.
📺Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
9-26-25 College Planning 2025 – FAFSA, Scholarships, & Smart Funding Tips
2025-09-26
College planning season is here — and the last quarter of 2025 brings critical deadlines for students and parents. Jonathan Penn and Sarah Buenger break down what you need to know about FAFSA, scholarships, and smart funding strategies for higher education.
🎓 Topics Covered:
Applications: Why applying to multiple in-state schools boosts negotiating power.
FAFSA 2025–26: Key deadlines, why it’s required (even if you don’t qualify for aid), and how it impacts merit-based scholarships.
Appeal Process: How a simple email to admissions could mean thousands in additional aid.
Scholarship Season: Deadlines, organization tips, and tools to stay ahead.
Policy Updates: Tuition freezes in Texas & Indiana, Supreme Court rulings on admissions, and new LOWER student and parent loan caps.
Size Matters: Can The Largest Stocks Continue To Lead?
2025-09-22
Does size matter? Since the Pandemic, and judged by the recent performance of the Magnificent Seven and mega-cap indexes, many investors would say it matters, likely claiming that the greater the size, the better the returns. Those with data going back decades, rather than years, would also agree that size matters. However, their conclusion would …
9/18/25 No Risk-free Path for the Fed
2025-09-18
The Federal Reserve cut rates on Wednesday, September 17, 2025 — but the path forward is anything but risk-free. Markets had already priced in much of the move, leaving investors to wonder if Powell’s guidance will calm volatility or spark fresh uncertainty.
Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz look at what the Fed’s latest decision means for stocks, bonds, and the economy.
Why Powell’s words may matter more than the rate cut itself.
The risks of inflation, slowing growth, and financial instability in the months ahead.
📈 Whether you’re an investor, trader, or just watching the markets, understanding the implications of Fed policy is critical.
0:19 – Something for Everyone from the Fed
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11:54 – Is
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