by Lance Roberts
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| Markets swing between hype and panic, and investors often get trapped by both. When prices rise, narratives justify overpaying; when prices collapse, fear convinces people assets are going to zero. In reality, markets rarely move in extremes forever. The best opportunities tend to appear when fear is highest, not when optimism is loudest, which is why disciplined, fundamentals-focused investors look for value during selloffs rather than chasing excitement at the top. đź“şFull episode: -g Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
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1-22-26 What Kevin Warsh Brings to the Fed
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Betting markets are increasingly pointing to Kevin Warsh as a potential successor to Jerome Powell, with Kevin Hassett expected to remain in his White House role under Donald Trump. Which begs the question: What would a Warsh-led Federal Reserve actually bring to markets?
Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explore the possibilities of a Warsh Fed: Would such likely be more tolerant of volatility, rely less on emergency interventions, and place greater emphasis on valuation, fundamentals, and disciplined policy rules?
0:00 INTRO
0:18 – Earnings, Economics, & Imminent Greenland Deal
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Fed Regime Change: Groupthink May Be Ending
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Starting in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, a profound change to the Fed’s liquidity-providing role in the capital markets was underway. We can sum up the Fed regime change with a popular quip: The Fed has shifted from lender of last resort to the lender of only resort! In our articles QE Is …
12-1-25 A Perfect Year-End Rally Setup But With One Big Warning
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Markets $SPX $NDX followed classic seasonality with a November dip that set up a potential year-end rally. But after six straight monthly gains, the odds of a pullback are rising.
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HSBC Casts Doubt On OpenAI’s Future
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Per the Financial Times (LINK), HSBC has serious doubts about OpenAI’s financial wherewithal. The following bullet points outline HSBC’s assumptions, which highlight the challenging financial path OpenAI faces. The graphic below from the article shows that HSBC expects OpenAI to run a massive operating loss in the year 2030. Accordingly, they have serious concerns about …
10-8-25 Markets, Money & Mindset: Live Q&A with Lance Roberts
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JJoin Lance Roberts for a live open Q&A on markets, money, and investing.
We’ll cover what’s on your mind—from market melt-ups and Fed policy to portfolio positioning and economic risks. No scripts, no fluff—just real talk and real answers about what’s moving markets and shaping investor behavior.
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Recession And Bonds: Navigating The Next Recession
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It’s odd to consider, but a recession could flip our bullish outlook on bonds to bearish. It’s unusual because typically, inflation drops during a recession, leading to lower yields and higher bond prices. While we believe that if an economic downturn or recession occurs soon, the immediate effect on bonds will be favorable. However, the …
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