by Lance Roberts
My articles My offerMy siteAbout meMy videosMy books
Follow on:TwitterSeeking AlphaFacebookAmazon
| A 12% yield is not a gift — it’s a warning sign. This is the classic mistake of chasing yield. If something pays dramatically more than the risk-free rate (the U.S. Treasury), it’s compensating you for meaningful uncertainty: credit risk, default risk, currency volatility, and geopolitical instability. In this short video, Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down whether Brazilian treasuries yielding over 12% are actually worth buying, the difference between ETFs and individual bonds, and the real risks hiding behind that headline number. $EWZ $BRAZ $ILF 📺Full episode: Catch Lance daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
You Might Also Like
Sanae Takaichi And The Yen Carry Trade
2026-02-10
In a blog last week titled Japan Is Normalizing: Risks To The Yen Carry Trade, we discussed Japan’s path to economic normalization and how it might affect a great source of global liquidity, the yen carry trade. A week after publishing the article, Japan had a stunning election. As a result, its new Prime Minister, …
2-6-26 This Inflation Signal Says “Trouble in Paradise”
2026-02-06
Real-time inflation (Truflation) data is signaling sub-1% inflation, and historically CPI and PCE tend to follow it lower with a short lag. That puts pressure on hawkish policy narratives.
At the same time, consumer spending is staying elevated while incomes are flat and savings have fallen to stressed levels.
In this short video, Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss the risk of a growing disconnect between the reflation narrative and the true health of the economy, pointing to potential downside ahead.
📺Full episode: _IPrDUg
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
Fannie And Freddie Add Billions To The Bond Market
2025-12-18
According to Bloomberg, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have been increasing the mortgages and mortgage-backed securities they hold on their own balance sheets. At their peak, before the financial crisis, Fannie and Freddie held a combined total of $1.6 trillion in mortgages. As we share below, courtesy of Bloomberg, their portfolio sizes are well below …
10-27-25 How Greed, Innovation & Leverage Create Every Market Bubble
2025-10-27
Speculative bubbles don’t appear overnight – they evolve through cycles of greed, innovation, and leverage.
In this Short video, I explain how the same cycle of easy money and speculation keeps repeating, just with new assets and fancier language each time.
📺Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
Leveraged ETFs: Yet Another Sign Of Rampant Speculation
2025-10-22
Not only is the market chasing the most speculative of assets, but it is employing record amounts of leverage to do so. Traditionally, investors use margin loans to gain leverage. More recently, however, leveraged ETFs allow investors to get leverage in one package. To wit, the graph below, courtesy of BofA, shows that there are …
Tags: Featured,newsletter
