The Weak Dollar Narrative
2026-02-14
🔎 At a Glance 🏛️ Market Brief – February Lives Up To Its Name We noted last week that February tends to be a weaker month for returns. So far, it has certainly lived up to its name. This past week opened with investors selling technology, and particularly software stocks, to buy value sectors. Energy, …
Continue reading »
The Consumption Conundrum
2025-12-29
GDP, released on Tuesday, showed that the economy grew by a larger-than-expected 4.3%. Powering the strong economic growth was personal consumption, which rose by 3.5%. Consumers are spending!. What’s unusual about that statement is that consumer sentiment remains historically weak. Typically, there is a strong correlation between personal consumption and consumer sentiment. As we share …
Continue reading »
Copper Prices Surge To All Time Highs
2025-12-24
On Monday night, copper prices, as shown below, reached an all-time high of over $12,000 per metric ton. Copper is often referred to as “Doctor Copper” because it serves as a barometer of global economic activity. However, the current surge in prices is not due to sharply rising demand; tariffs and physical dislocation are heavily …
Continue reading »
12-21-25 Don’t Fall for the Hype: Safety Isn’t in Bitcoin Or MAG7
2025-12-21
Bonds are being ditched at the exact moment investors need them most.
In this short video, Michael Lebowitz and I discuss why Treasuries $TLT remain the only true safety bucket and why replacing them with #Bitcoin $IBIT $BTCUSD or mega-cap tech $AAPL $AMZN $META $NFLX $NVDA $MSFT $GOOGL leaves portfolios exposed in a downturn.
Please ❤️like and 🔁retweet
📺Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
11-6-25 The Hidden AI Debt Bubble Nobody’s Talking About
2025-11-06
AI’s growth is being fueled by massive hidden debt.
In this short video, Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss how companies like $META are using off-balance-sheet SPVs to fund AI infrastructure—creating risks that could echo the leverage traps of the late 1990s.
📺Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
Overnight Funding Costs Signal Liquidity Strain
2025-09-15
After years of abundant liquidity, U.S. overnight funding markets are beginning to show signs of strain. Interest rates on overnight repo agreements have climbed steadily this month as the Treasury rebuilds its cash balance and the Fed continues quantitative tightening. Usage of the Fed’s overnight reverse repo (RRP) facility, a key gauge of excess liquidity, …
Continue reading »
Oilfield Servicers Find New Hope in AI Power Demand
2025-09-12
Oilfield service companies are fighting an uphill battle after years of weak demand from traditional energy producers. A relentless multi-year decline in U.S. rig counts has resulted in beaten-down oilfield service companies turning to an unlikely new customer base: technology firms racing to power AI data centers. According to the WSJ, companies such as Solaris …
Continue reading »
9-8-25 Don’t Be Fooled By The Market: Jobs Report Signals Trouble
2025-09-08
Friday’s jobs report revealed deeper cracks: a multi-month downtrend in employment, quality of hires is deteriorating, etc.
Since employment drives growth & earnings, any $SPY / $QQQ pop may be short-lived – disinflation & slowing growth still point to mounting risk for equities.
In this short video, I explain why Friday’s data could matter more than you’d think.
📺 Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
#JobsReport #StockMarketWarning #SPY #QQQ #MarketRisk