by Lance Roberts
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| What really matters for markets in 2026—and why are most forecasts focused on the wrong metrics? Lance Roberts visits with Simplify Portfolio Manager & Chief Investment Strategist, Michael Green, CFA, to examine the structural changes inside today’s markets that are reshaping price discovery, volatility, and risk. From the rise of passive investing and ETF dominance to the growing disconnect between fundamentals and flows, the mechanics of how markets trade have changed dramatically. #MarketOutlook2026 #PassiveInvesting #ETFMarketStructure #FinancialNihilism #MarketRisk #MichaelGreen |
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12-5-25 Why Fed Cuts Could Make the Dollar Stronger, Not Weaker
2025-12-05
Fed rate cuts aren’t inherently bearish for the dollar $DXY. By supporting economic growth and boosting $SPY / $QQQ, they attract foreign capital that strengthens the currency.
In this short video, MIchael Lebowitz and I discuss why easing supports growth, pulls in foreign capital, and ultimately contradicts the constant dollar-debasement narrative.
📺Full episode: -iyGgj0
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
12-2-25 LIVE Q&A: Ask Us Anything About Markets & Money
2025-12-02
Welcome to our LIVE Q&A session!
Lance Roberts is taking your questions directly from the YouTube live chat—covering markets, investing, retirement planning, inflation, interest rates, the Federal Reserve, portfolio strategy, risk management, and your personal finance questions.
No scripts, no agenda—just real-time answers based on data, history, and risk-focused investing principles.
We’ll break down what’s moving the markets, how to think about pullbacks, what the Fed may do next, how valuations affect future returns, and how to build financial plans that survive full market cycles. Whether you’re a new investor or a seasoned pro, this LIVE Q&A is your chance to get expert insight—right now.
0:00 – INTRO
0:19 – Not Every December is Positive; Retail Sales, Black Friday, & Target
10-17-25 The Leverage Trap: Why The Next Selloff Could Be Brutal
2025-10-18
Leverage drives bull markets higher—but when sentiment shifts, it accelerates the fall.
In this Short video, I explain how margin debt above $1 trillion fuels gains today but can trigger a rapid, cascading selloff when the tide turns. $SPX $QQQ
Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
10-15-25 The Fed’s Quiet Pivot: Ending QT Is Bullish for Risk Assets
2025-10-15
The Fed just made a quietly bullish move. In this short video, I explain how ending quantitative tightening and stabilizing its balance sheet adds liquidity, supports Treasuries, and sets up a stronger backdrop for risk assets.
Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
10-15-25 Is the Fed Poised to Pause Quantitative Tightening?
2025-10-15
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell just hinted that the Fed may soon pause its balance-sheet runoff — a potential shift that could reshape market liquidity and investor sentiment.
Lance Roberts breaks down:
* Why the Fed may pause QT — and what it signals about financial conditions.
* How ending balance-sheet runoff affects liquidity, yields, and asset prices.
* What history tells us about QT pauses and subsequent market rallies.
* Why the Fed’s portfolio composition (Treasuries vs. MBS) still matters for inflation and housing.
* Portfolio tactics if the liquidity tide begins to turn.
#FederalReserve #QuantitativeTightening #FedPolicy
#MarketLiquidity #StockMarketAnalysis
First Brands: Canary In The Rehypothecation Coal Mine?
2025-10-13
The First Brands Group, manufacturer of auto parts, including Raybestos brakes and FRAM, filed for bankruptcy on September 29th. This bankruptcy is troubling in two ways. First, per the ZeroHedge chart below, the price of First Brands loans fell by 80% in a day. In other words, the loan market had no clue of financial …
Significant Rotations Hidden By Calm Markets
2025-08-22
The market seas are calm, but beneath the surface, there is some intense churning, or in market terminology, significant stock rotations. Over the last week, the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq were relatively flat. Such gives the appearance of a low volatility, typical late August market with little going on. However, beneath the calm of …
8-20-25 John Tamny – Money is Ruthless
2025-08-20
Lance Roberts interviews John Tamny, author, economist, and editor of RealClearMarkets. Tamny’s provocative new book, Deficit Delusion, reframes how we think about debt and growth. He makes a bold case: Trump-style protectionism and fear-driven immigration policies are economically self-defeating—even for conservatives.
Trade is the greatest foreign policy mankind has ever devised, plus it’s great for workers as is any scenario that expands the division of labor.
$36.1 trillion Government Debt is not a crisis—it’s a sign of U.S. strength & investor confidence about the U.S.’s future, it’s not weakness.
1:55 – Will the Debt Spiral spark a financial crisis?
4:03 – What is the debt relative to economic growth?
5:18 – The Uber Analogy & Expectations of Debt
8:40 – What are we NOT doing
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