by Lance Roberts
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| $SPX / $SPY just broke below its 50-day moving average, making the next support levels crucial. In this short video, I show how to read these trend shifts so you know when to stay invested and when the weakening momentum may call for trimming exposure. 📺Full episode: Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
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Miran Says Rates Are Too High: Politics Or Reality?
2025-10-01
Stephen Miran, Donald Trump’s recent addition to the Fed, joined the Federal Reserve the day before the last meeting. At that meeting, he was the only dissenting vote, supporting a 50-basis-point rate cut. All other members voted for a 25-basis-point cut. Additionally, Miran is likely the FOMC participant who thinks the Fed Funds rate should …
9/25/25 Accommodative Or Restrictive? Decoding The Fed’s Latest Move
2025-09-25
The Federal Reserve’s latest move has investors asking: Is policy turning more accommodative or staying restrictive? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz decode the Fed’s decision, cut through the jargon, and explain what it means for markets, rates, and your money.
We’ll cover:
What the Fed actually signaled last week
The difference between accommodative and restrictive policy
How markets typically react to these shifts
Key risks for stocks, bonds, and the economy going forward
Stay tuned as we unpack the Fed’s message and put it into plain language for investors navigating uncertain markets.
0:18 – On becoming "vintage" and Irrational Exuberance
3:52 – Markets Appear to be Pulling Back
9:49 – Jerome Powell’s "Fairly Valued" Market Assessment
10:30 – The Virtual Circle of the
8-6-25 The Risks of Over-reliance on Index Funds
2025-08-06
"Just buy the VOO (S&P 500) and chill…" is NOT good advice. Investors made NO money on VOO between 1999 and 2013. Outcomes from buying when valuations are low is very different from buying when valuations are at record highs.
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning,"
Utilities And Industrials Carry The Market
2025-08-06
The race to build and power AI data centers is creating an interesting anomaly in the stock market. Despite the S&P 500 being up over 7% on the year, and the higher-beta stocks seemingly leading the way, utilities and industrials are the best-performing sectors. The surging demand for power drives utilities, while industrials benefit from …
Israel And Iran: Is This Time Different For Oil Prices?
2025-06-16
Crude oil prices spiked by over $10 on the initial news that Israel was bombing Iran’s nuclear facilities and targeting its key military leaders. The price surge should be expected, given that Iran accounts for slightly over 3% of global production and, more importantly, holds 12% of the world’s proven crude oil reserves. For context, …
6-10-25 Private Equity is Coming for Your Money
2025-06-10
Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn uncover how private equity investments are no longer just for the ultra-wealthy…but is that the best plan? With Wall Street’s latest push, retail investors are now being targeted as the next frontier for capital. From alternative investments in 2025 to the growing trend of private equity entering 401(k) plans, we break down what you need to know about the risks of private equity, the lack of transparency compared to public markets, and what this shift could mean for retail investors. Don’t miss this deep dive into why Wall Street is coming after your retirement savings—and what you can do about it.
0:18 – Industrials Lead the Way
12:35 – The Private Equity Story – Why Am I So Lucky?
27:41 – The Private Equity Story – The Democratization of Private Equity
Stock Market Performance As Summer Arrives
2025-06-07
Inside This Week’s Bull Bear Report Breakout! Next Stop, Previous Highs Last week, we discussed the successful test of the 200-DMA. “Most notably, this past week was the successful test of the 200-DMA. The pullback to that previous broken resistance level and subsequent bounce highly suggests that the April correction is complete and that market …
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