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1-16-25 CPI: What’s Next?

Lance and Michael interpret the latest CPI, PPI, PCE, and GDP numbers: Which one is most-meaningful to the Fed? Earnings Season continues with Big Banks reporting; JPMorgan kills it, but how are regional banks faring? Stock buy backs this time around are expected to exceed $1-Trillion. mostly benefitting large cap stocks. Markets cling to 100-DMA, and aim for the 50-DMA to set up to rally. Michael discusses portfolio management, and Lance previews his re-release on portfolio gardening. Revealing analysis of "spikey data" in CPI and PPI calculus. Inflation remains sticky at high levels. CPI data is flawed by Shelter component; Airline Fares are "super-spikey." The Fed 2% Inflation number is a "round-down" number. Effects of the Barter Trade: Will slow inflation...AND the economy. The "No-Buy" economy effects on delivery drivers. Lance and Michael discuss insurance companies' changes due to catastrophic losses; Michael provides a content preview of his presentation at this weekend's economic summit, elements affecting bond yields, and "term premium." The Bond Vigilantes are not like Paul Revere; they're not the do-gooders, but opportunists profiting on sentiment. Greedy shorts.

3:09 - CPI, PPI, GDP, PCE: Which Matters Most to the Fed?
15:05 - How to Deal with Super-Spikey Data
30:28 - Insurance Changes from Catastrophic Loss
44:37 - Why Bond Vigilantes Are Not Do-Gooders

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"Technical Analysis Is Not Voodoo, Its Vital Context"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technical-analysis-is-not-voodoo-its-vital-context/
"Consolidation Continues"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/
"Investor Resolutions For 2025"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-resolutions-for-2025/
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Set Up to Rally," is here:
&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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Our previous show is here: "CPI: The Big Reveal,"
&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
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Get more info & commentary:
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com
Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Subscribe to SimpleVisor:
https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
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Connect with us on social:
https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice
https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts
https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/
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Lance Roberts
Finally, financial news that makes sense. Lance Roberts, the host of "StreetTalkLive", has a unique ability to bring the complex world of economics, investing and personal financial wealth building to you in simple, easy and informative ways but also makes it entertaining to listen to at the same time.
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