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1-14-25 Tactically Bearish As Risks Increase

PPI & CPI Preview: Earnings season is about to commence, followed by the opening of the Buy Back window. Higher yields (and term premiums) are weighing on markets. Term premiums are just a measure of sentiment; watch what companies say, impacted by higher yields. Markets rally to just above the 100-DMA. Lance reviews investor sentiment, credit spreads, and market valuation (which charts). Noting the (limited) impact of taffis on a service-oriented economy. Being “tactically bearish” does NOT mean we are expecting a bear market or a severe market crash. Regarding portfolio management, the difference between being “tactically bullish” or “tactically bearish” is the level of equity risk we take in client portfolios. Over the last two years, we have been “tactically bullish” and have held more significant weightings in equities that have benefitted from market momentum and investor sentiment. However, shifting toward a “tactically bearish” position would suggest rebalancing exposure to more fundamental, value-oriented, dividend-paying companies that will reduce overall portfolio volatility. It also may mean owning less equity exposure and increasing cash levels. Lance & Jonathan review how parents have failed Gen-Z in preparing them for the rigors of life, like changing light bulbs. Lance & Jonathan discuss portfolio strategies.

3:13 - PPI, CPI Previews
14:39 - Investor Sentiment, Credit Spreads, & Market Valuations
30:32 - Gen-Z DIY'ers, Mowing the Lawn, & Building Wealth
44:37 - Highwater Marks & Portfolio Compartmentalization

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"Consolidation Continues"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/
"Investor Resolutions For 2025"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-resolutions-for-2025/
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "PPI Disappoints," is here:
&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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Our previous show is here: "Investor Resolutions for 2025,"
&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
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Get more info & commentary:
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com
Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Connect with us on social:
https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice
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Lance Roberts
Finally, financial news that makes sense. Lance Roberts, the host of "StreetTalkLive", has a unique ability to bring the complex world of economics, investing and personal financial wealth building to you in simple, easy and informative ways but also makes it entertaining to listen to at the same time.
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