Why Ray Dalio Finds Ocean Exploration So Exciting

2025-12-10

I’ve been using AI to help my decision-making for over 30 years. It’s a big part of what made Bridgewater successful.

I found that if I wrote down my criteria for making decisions and put them into algorithms, the computer could process far more information far more quickly than I could on my own. Alongside my logic and inspiration, it was a great partnership.

I started doing this in my investment decision-making, but soon incorporated it into my broader decision-making, as well. (By the way, that investment decision-making is what made Bridgewater so successful.) LLMs have made this process even more seamless and useful.

If you’re interested in trying out my beta AI tool, you can find it at the link below.

2025-10-30

#Trust your gut. @FindingMastery

2025-09-24

I like inflation-indexed bonds — or TIPS (Treasury inflation protected securities) — because they guarantee a real return.

The markets are a zero sum game, and if you’re speculating, you’ll probably be the loser. But these bonds are among the safest asset classes you can find.

2025-09-19

The reality is that AI is so revolutionary and so disruptive that it’s very hard to say for sure whether superscalers are currently priced accurately in the markets.

But what will be even more impactful and is not adequately priced in is the effect AI is going to have on applications of it on company earnings, efficiencies, and the like.

I’m often asked whether these future productivity improvements will convert to the profits and incomes needed to service the debt well. I’ve done the calculations, measuring it against other productivity miracles, and I think it’s very unlikely — though of course, I could be wrong.

As an investor, if you think that will happen, I suggest that you skew your portfolio accordingly. @MasterInvestorChannel

You can watch the full conversation here:

2025-08-21

#Love is the most important soft skill…

2025-07-18

What happens when a country mismanages its debt?

In 1990, Japanese policymakers decided to deal with its debt obligations by printing a lot of money to buy bonds. They further devalued the currency by giving bondholders significantly lower interest rates than in the US.

As a result, Japanese bonds lost 45% relative to US bonds and 60% relative to gold over the next few years.

That had a real impact on the average Japanese worker, who lost a significant amount of buying power — and those impacts are still felt today.

My new book, How Countries Go Broke: The Big Cycle, breaks it all down for you.

#raydalio #principles #politics #economics

2025-07-07

An order is a governing system that helps people deal with each other in a structured way.

There are internal orders for governing within countries, and a world order for governing between countries.

Orders typically change after wars, when revolutionary new forces defeat weak old ones.

When this happens, new agreements and treaties are signed that detail how global governance and monetary systems will work moving forward. And a new world order begins.

#principles #raydalio #history #bigcycle

2025-07-03

History tells us the preferred path for government policymakers trying to deal with too much debt is lowering interest rates and devaluing the currency the debt is denominated in.

Doing this is a very hidden way of reducing wealth, because as your currency goes down, it makes it look like other things are going up. But despite the downsides, this wealth shrinkage and reduction in buying power is favored by policy makers precisely because its impacts are less obvious than the alternatives.

At such times, you should expect interest rates and the currency’s value to fall.

#debt #raydalio