| Many people seem shocked by what’s happening, most recently in the Minneapolis and Greenland conflicts, though also in many other ways over the last year. In my opinion, that’s because they don’t understand what’s going on with the breakdown of the post-World War II monetary, domestic political, and international political orders. This is happening in classic Big Cycle ways that have repeated throughout history and were laid out in detail in my book, Principles for Dealing With the Changing World Order, which I wrote about five years ago. In that book, I described how the Big Cycle unfolds in stages with clear characteristics, and I outlined the cause-and-effect relationships one can follow to identify where we are in the Big Cycle and what is likely to happen next. With that perspective, it is clear to me that we are in Stage 5 (the pre-breakdown of the orders period) and on the brink of Stage 6 (the breaking down of the old orders). In my latest article, I review the developments that characterize Stages 5 and 6 and relate them to what is happening. As always, I'd love to hear your thoughts. |
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