Ray Dalio Explains Debt Cycles

2026-01-07

What has always mattered most to me is getting as close to the truth as possible. You can’t make good decisions without good facts, and you can’t get good facts without being radically open-minded and willing to look at reality as it really is—not as you wish it to be.

In this conversation, I talk about why grounding your thinking in evidence, clear principles, and honest reflection is the foundation for meaningful work and meaningful relationships. When you let the facts speak louder than your ego, you make better choices, build better teams, and create better outcomes.

The world is constantly changing. The only way to keep up is to learn, evolve, and stay anchored in truth. That’s been my approach for decades—and it’s more important now than ever. @BloombergPodcasts

2025-12-15

Developing an AI version of myself wasn’t easy. I’m very lucky because I wrote down thousands of principles that outline my thinking and values, so there’s a lot of content to use for training.

But it’s also important to curate it well. I spend hours each day looking at the answers it’s giving and asking myself it that’s what I would say, in the way I would say it. Through that work, the technology gets better and better over time.

If you want to see what the technology looks like today, you can find it at the link here: https://bit.ly/4a54Si9

2025-12-12

When it comes to understanding markets, you need to step back and see the bigger picture. That’s why it’s so important to have a #gameplan for investing and long-term financial investments.

#raydalio #principles #politics #economics

2025-11-21

The most important thing is that you have the life that you want to have. So, how you define success is important. There isn’t one path that’s right for everyone.

I was lucky in the sense that I fell in love with markets and playing the investment the game, which is what I’ve done for 50 years.

I recommend that people think about their own nature and what game they’d love to spend years playing. It’s okay to explore different paths—not everyone knows right away. Think of your journey as a process of discovery.

If you’re interested, you can find my full conversation with Bloomberg here. We discussed life, debt, global crisis, and the importance of investing in our oceans:

2025-10-29

The U.S.’s debts are on the edge of becoming unmanageable to the point where it could default if conditions are not changed.

But this problem isn’t a unique one. It has happened many times in history, which is why I believe studying the past is so important. The same cycles repeat over and over again, and there are important lessons we can learn from those experiences.

I recently met with Bloomberg @markets ahead of the UN Ocean Conference to discuss our debts, the possibility of global crisis, and the importance of investing in our oceans.

If you’re interested in learning more about our collective debt burden — and what steps we can take to solve these issues — I explain my thinking in my new book, How Countries Go Broke: The Big Cycle.

I hope you will read it and let me know your

2025-09-23

Gold is now the second largest reserve currency, behind the US dollar.

To understand why, you need to look at the history of fiat currencies (like the dollar) and hard currencies (like gold).

The way I see it, we’re currently facing a classic currency devaluation similar to what we saw in the 1970s or the 1930s. In both of those cases, fiat currencies around the world all went down together — and also went down in relationship to hard currencies, like gold.

If events today follow a similar pattern, that makes hard currencies an attractive asset to hold.

At least, that’s how it looks through my eyes. I’m curious to hear what you think.

You can watch the full conversation here: ?feature=shared

2025-08-21

#Love is the most important soft skill…

2025-07-11

History shows us that having too much debt during an economic downturn leads to a classic, self-reinforcing cycle where:

1) The empire can no longer borrow the money to repay its debts
2) It prints a lot of new money, which devalues the currency and raises inflation
3) Living standards decline, leading to the rise of political extremism
4) Turbulent economic conditions undermine productivity and there is conflict about how to divide the shrinking resources
5) Populist leaders emerge pledging to take control and bring about order

#principles #raydalio #history #debt