| Developing an AI version of myself wasn't easy. I’m very lucky because I wrote down thousands of principles that outline my thinking and values, so there’s a lot of content to use for training. But it’s also important to curate it well. I spend hours each day looking at the answers it’s giving and asking myself it that’s what I would say, in the way I would say it. Through that work, the technology gets better and better over time. If you want to see what the technology looks like today, you can find it at the link here: https://bit.ly/4a54Si9 |
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Principles for Success: The Call to Adventure
2025-11-18
I’ve taken my best-selling book “Principles” and distilled it into a video mini-series that focuses on the life principles that have helped me the most. This will especially help those who are graduating this Spring and entering “the real world.”
This is Episode 1: The Call to Adventure, I hope you find these helpful.
Ray Dalio on His Secret to Success
2025-11-17
If you want to be successful, you have to do 3 things:
1) Surround yourself with great people
2) Develop meaningful work and meaningful relationships
3) Use technology, like AI, to systemize your thinking
Do you agree with this list? What would you add? @TheProfGPod
My Biggest Failure Became My Strength
2025-11-14
One principle that I’ve really learned is “Pain + Reflect = Progress.”
The Time the United States Ran Out of Money
2025-11-11
When I was a young clerk on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange in 1971, the US ran out of money and defaulted on its debts.
Now, they didn’t say it that way. But by moving away from the gold standard — the idea that people could exchange paper dollars for gold — money, as we understood it, ended.
I expected the stock market to plunge the next day, but when the opening bell rang the market was way up. And it went on to rise nearly 25%.
That surprised me, because I had never experienced a currency devaluation before. But when I looked into it, I discovered the exact same thing happened in 1933 and it had the exact same effect.
But in both cases, breaking the link to gold allowed the US to continue spending more than it earned, and so the value of each dollar fell.
If you’re worried, you don’t need to worry — and if you’re not worried, you need to worry.
2025-10-10
One of my principles is that if you’re worried, you don’t need to worry — and if you’re not worried, you need to worry.
That’s because worrying about what can go wrong will protect you and not worrying about what can go wrong will leave you exposed.
Why I’m Pessimistic About the Debt Problem
2025-10-08
The way I see it, any serious effort to solve the debt crisis will likely come too late.
It’s a timing issue. 2026 is a midterm election year — politicians won’t want to take the painful steps needed to improve our economic picture: cutting spending, raising taxes, and the like.
Any sort of bipartisan effort that comes after will both take time and be unlikely to be effective, because those commissions generally don’t work very well in practice.
That’s what it looks like to me. I’m curious to hear if you see things similarly.
@TheProfGPod
You can watch the full conversation here: _JLSAat94?si=AIGAM6BTiw7ZWCCC
Ray Dalio’s Update on U.S. Government Debt
2025-07-23
The basic picture has not changed — if the US doesn’t cut the deficit to 3% of the GDP, and soon, we risk facing an economic heart attack in the next three years.
The good news is that these cuts are possible. If we change spending and income (tax returns) by 4% while the economy is still good, the interest rate will go down as a result and we’ll be in a much better situation.
And we know this kind of balance is possible because it happened between 1991-1998.
My fear is that we will probably not make these needed cuts due to political reasons, and will have even more debt and debt service encroaching on our spending that will ultimately lead to a serious supply-demand problem.
Ray Dalio on Why the U.S. Must Restructure Global Trade Deals
2025-06-17
We’re entering a period of history where countries must be much more self-sufficient.
Not just because of the debt and trade issues — and those imbalances are unsustainable — but also because of security.
With today’s geopolitical instability, a country like the U.S. can’t afford to be be dependent on imports from countries like China.
As a result, restructuring our trade relationships is critical and necessary.
At least, that’s what it looks like through my eyes. I’m curious to hear if you agree.
#raydalio #howcountriesgobroke #geopolitics #trade
Tags: Featured,newsletter,Ray Dalio
