| I’m doing an AMA on @reddit today, starting at 1pm ET. I always enjoy hearing from you all, and discussing whatever’s on your mind. So, if you have any questions for me, go check out the Reddit thread linked in the comments. I’ll get to as many as I can. |
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People on social media often ask me why I don’t run for political office.
The reality is that going into public service in our current environment scares the daylights out of me.
I have so much appreciation and respect for those who make that sacrifice. But we’re now in a climate where everybody fights over every decision to tear our leaders down, no matter how capable they may be.
Ray Dalio’s Update on U.S. Government Debt
2025-07-23
The basic picture has not changed — if the US doesn’t cut the deficit to 3% of the GDP, and soon, we risk facing an economic heart attack in the next three years.
The good news is that these cuts are possible. If we change spending and income (tax returns) by 4% while the economy is still good, the interest rate will go down as a result and we’ll be in a much better situation.
And we know this kind of balance is possible because it happened between 1991-1998.
My fear is that we will probably not make these needed cuts due to political reasons, and will have even more debt and debt service encroaching on our spending that will ultimately lead to a serious supply-demand problem.
Tags: Featured,newsletter,Ray Dalio
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