Tag Archive: Switzerland Gross Domestic Product

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. It is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary indicator of the economy’s health. A stronger than expected number should be taken as positive for the EUR and a lower than expected number as negative to the EUR.

2a) Swiss Macro



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Swiss Franc History, from 2004 to 2009: The undervalued franc

ch euro
A Critical History of the Swiss Franc: During the "global carry trade" period between 2004 and 2007, the euro strongly appreciated against the Swiss franc. Most astonishingly this happened, despite the fact that the Swiss GDP growth was on average 0.5% higher

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Is the SNB Intervening Again?

2014-03-30

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2014-03-30

snb intervention, chairman philipp hildebrand
Update March 21, 2014: Total SNB sight deposits increased to 367.8 bln. CHF, but flows reverted a bit. Foreign banks and “non-banks” reduced their CHF exposure at the SNB to 50.8 bln, possibly converting a part of the difference into USD. Dollars are more useful when sanctions will hurt both Russian and German firms. On … Continue...

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SECO expects 2.2% Swiss growth, further CHF strength ahead, understand why

2014-03-19

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2014-03-19

swiss gdp forecast march 2014 seco, consuotion, business cycles expert group
The Swiss government see Swiss GDP growth at 2.2% in 2014 and 2.7% in 2015. Our estimate sees a divergence in the GDP components; we expects a lower trade surplus and higher spending. in both cases CHF should rise.

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SECO expects 2.2% Swiss GDP growth in 2014 and 2.7% in 2015: Implications on the Swiss Franc

swiss gdp forecast march 2014 seco, consuotion, business cycles expert group


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UBS Consumption Indicator Points to 2.5 Percent Swiss GDP Growth in 2014

2014-01-30

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2014-01-30

UBS Forecast Swiss Economy September 2013
FacebookShare As usual, the Swiss economy seems to be better than economists thought. After 1.40 still in December, the UBS consumption indicator has risen to 1.81, a value higher than the ones in 2012, when private consumption increased by 2.4%. Similarly as last year, the latest reading contradicts UBS’s own growth forecasts, albeit this year …

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Swiss GDP Details Compared to UK, USA, Germany, Japan and Australia, Q3 2013

2013-12-03

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2013-12-03

Switzerland United States USA UK Germany Australia
The Swiss GDP was again one of the strongest major economies. The quarterly growth rate in the third quarter was 0.5%, the yearly one 1.9%. U.S. GDP improved by 3.6% QoQ annualized. For comparison purposes, our figures are not annualized; hence the equivalent is 0.9% QoQ. In Japan and Switzerland private consumption rose by 0.1% … Continue reading...

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Swiss Q2 GDP Details Compared to Japan, Germany, Australia and U.S.

2013-09-04

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2013-09-04

Swiss Q2 GDP vs. Australia, Japan, Germany
  The Swiss GDP for Q2/2013 was in line with its peers in developed countries. The quarterly (not annualized) change was +0.5% compared to 0.6% for Japan and the United States, +0.7% for Germany and +0.5% for Australia. Swiss and Japanese growth was driven more by consumption, while the U.S. advances were based more on …

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IMF (2013): Sees Considerable Risks on SNB Balance Sheet

imf end snb cap franc, reuters
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) judges "that the SNB’s net revenue is subject to large fluctuations, and sizeable losses could occur if an appreciation of the Swiss franc was to take place before foreign exchange interventions were unwound."

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Net Speculative Positions, Technical Outlook, Global Markets Ahead of Eventful Week September 3rd

2012-09-03

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2012-09-03

FM TN G3D Chess1
Submitted by Mark Chandler, from marctomarkets.com   The week ahead kicks off what we expect to be a period of intense event risk. The combination of positioning, judging from the futures market and anecdotal reports, and the low implied volatility in currencies and equity markets warn of heightened risk in the period ahead. The week begins …

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EUR/CHF: A History of Interventions, December 2009

2009-12-31

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2009-12-31

baghdad bob
December 2009 EUR/CHF Selling Off EUR/CHF is down at 1.4835 from an early 1.4865, the swissy bulls happy to probe for signs of meaningful SNB interest.  Many are voicing surprise at the lack of interest being show by the Swiss National Bank to curtail the recent burgeoning swissy strength. There is talk of 1.4800 barrier … Continue reading »

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