Tag Archive: Other Periphery

Italian Euro Exit: Why it Might Come in some Years and Why it Will Help the Euro Zone and Italy

Italy has three options: 1. exit the euro zone and devalue the currency; 2. remain in the euro zone and devalue salaries. 3. go for Japan-like decades-long slow growth with stagnating wages, but also with falling inflation and (positive news!) falling bond yields.

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Ways to the Northern Euro

Two ways for building the Northern euro, exit of Southern members or slow creation of Northern euro with currency interventions of central banks.

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Goldman Sachs: Reducing Wages in Periphery Is Not Enough

2012-12-28

by George Dorgan

2012-12-28

The must-read Goldman analysis on Zerohedge: it is not enough to reduce wages in Greece or Spain. These countries will see lost decade(s). Completely in-line with our analysis that

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Who Says No to Austerity and Global Imbalances, Must Say Yes to the Northern Euro

Eventually the euro will be abolished, a Northern Euro introduced: politicians and their economic advisors might just be waiting for a calm moment, especially with upcoming German inflation.

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The Eurozone crisis between euro-morons and zombie-bankers

Did the SNB Front-Run ECB Decisions Far Ahead of Hedge Funds?

2012-10-30

by George Dorgan

2012-10-30

We think that the Swiss National Bank invested far more in Italian and Spanish bonds than analysts like Standard and Poor’s expected and was able to front-run ECB decisions. This new style of hedge funds, formerly called “central banks”, can refinance at zero percent and is able to show a lot better performance than the …

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IMF World Economic Outlook

2012-10-10

by Alex Gloy

2012-10-10

Recession Deflation Danger IMF World Economic Outlook

Alexander Gloy is founder and president of Lighthouse Investment Management The IMF’s (International Monetary Fund) “World Economic Outlook”, a slim 250-page piece, came out. Some excerpts: Substantial reductions in estimated output (GDP) growth for 2013 for all major countries: Unemployment in the Euro-Area (“EA”) is now expected to rise above the level …

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Is Standard and Poor’s a Rating Agency or a Rumor Agency ?

2012-10-01

by George Dorgan

2012-10-01

Standard and Poor’s critique of the Swiss National Bank, Part 2, extracts from our full report As many readers of our blog know, we are not the best of friends with the current Swiss National Bank (SNB) policy: we recently published a paper claiming that the SNB will go bankrupt and …

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The next SNB rumor: Wall Street Journal and our response

2012-09-12

by George Dorgan

2012-09-12

A bit breathlessly…. The next SNB rumor story comes from the so-well established Wall Street Journal, its columnist Nick Hastings. WSJ: The Swiss National Bank was bold before. And the central bank would be well advised to be just as bold again. When the SNB announced just over a year ago that it was setting a …

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Otmar Issing’s new book on the euro crisis

2012-08-10

by George Dorgan

2012-08-10

We well remember when the über-bailouter of the Financial Times Wolfgang Münchau claimed that except some old economy professors like Otmar Issing nobody in Germany would like to abolish the euro. According to Münchau the euro can be saved only via a fiscal and a banking union. The response to Münchau’s post could be … Continue reading...

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Guest Post: Six Reasons Why Italy May Exit the Euro Before Spain; Ultimate Occupy Movement

2012-07-24

by George Dorgan

2012-07-24

Six Reasons Why Italy May Exit Before Spain 1) Rise of the Five Star Movement 2) 44% of Italians view the euro negatively, only 30% favorably. That is biggest negative spread in the eurozone. In Spain more view the euro positively than negative, albeit by a small 4 percentage point spread.

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Wolfgang Münchau, FT: Merkel was the winner of the Euro summit

2012-07-02

by George Dorgan

2012-07-02

Wolfgang Münchau endorsed many of our arguments Wolfgang Münchau, Financial Times, has endorsed many of our arguments of our Friday's opinion about the Euro summit where we stated that there was nothing really new. Münchau even claims that "The real victor in Brussels was Merkel."

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Merkel: ‘No Eurobonds as Long as I Live’, Hollande: ‘Eurobonds will take up to 10 years’

2012-06-27

by George Dorgan

2012-06-27

German chancellor Angela Merkel today confirmed the content of our article that Eurobonds are pure utopia. She vows "No Eurobonds as Long as I Live".

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Italy: About the Hypocrisy of Politicians and the Blindness of the English-Speaking Financial Papers

2012-05-19

by George Dorgan

2012-05-19

Debt Servicing Costs Italy vs. GDP change

Just a little wrap-up of two tweets read in 5 minutes, to which I finally added a bit more out of my recent Tweets. One Tweet: The British finance minister Osborne has emphasized that the euro zone needs to protect its peripheral economies. “The whole of Europe needs to become more competitive and productive. That …

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