Tag Archive: Currency Movement

Could We Learn Today that the US Created Only Around Half the Number of Jobs in the Year through March as it Thought?

2025-09-09

by

2025-09-09

Overview: The US dollar continues to trade with a heavier bias. Today, the yen is leading the move on the back of renewed speculation that the BOJ may still hike rates this year. The Australian dollar has broken above $0.6600 to approach the year's high, while the Canadian dollar is the laggard, as is often …

Read More »

Japanese and French Politics Take Limelight for the Moment

2025-09-08

by

2025-09-08

Overview: The dollar is mostly consolidating with a softer bias after the disappointing employment report before the weekend. The derivatives market is pricing in about a 10% chance of a 50 bp Fed cut next week, which still seems exaggerated given the likely uptick in headline CPI this week. The Japanese yen is the only …

Read More »

Dollar Slumps Ahead of the Employment Report

2025-09-05

by

2025-09-05

Overview: The focus is on US employment today. Weak jobs growth and a tick up in the unemployment rate are expected to spur the Fed's first rate cut of the year in a couple of weeks. Position adjusting ahead of the report has weighed on the greenback broadly and overwhelmed the unexpectedly poor Germany factory … Continue...

Read More »

US Jobs Data Key to Near-Term Greenback’s Fate

2025-09-04

by

2025-09-04

Overview: The US dollar is firm against the G10 currencies today but is mostly trading inside yesterday's ranges. After yesterday's disappointing JOLTS report attention turns to the ADP estimate today, ahead of tomorrow's BLS report. The lack of follow-through selling after yesterday's losses may be encouraging some short-term momentum traders to move to the sidelines. …

Read More »

Dollar Stabilizes

2025-09-03

by

2025-09-03

Overview: After yesterday's jump, the dollar is mostly consolidating at lower levels today. The Scandis and euro are leading the recovery of the G10 currencies, the New Zealand and Canadian dollars, and yen are nursing small losses. Japanese Prime Minister Ishiba was not blamed for the electoral losses in a party investigation, but the LDP …

Read More »

The Greenback Surges While Rates Jump

2025-09-02

by

2025-09-02

Overview: A broadly stronger US dollar greets the returning North American participants from the long holiday weekend. The greenback has risen by 0.7% or more against most of the G10 currencies. The Norwegian krone and Canadian dollar have fared best and are off less than 0.2%. Sterling is bearing the brunt. It is off nearly … Continue...

Read More »

Chop Fest in FX Continues

2025-08-29

by

2025-08-29

Overview: Ahead of the long holiday weekend in North America, the US dollar is trading with a slightly firmer bias in narrow trading ranges. The drama around the Fed has intensified with FHFA Director Pulte sending a new criminal referral against Governor Cook regarding a third mortgage, while Governor Waller reiterated his dissent from last …

Read More »

China Allows Faster Yuan Appreciation, while Follow-Through Selling Weighs on the Greenback

2025-08-28

by

2025-08-28

Overview: After yesterday's setback in North America, the greenback remains under modest pressure today. It is lower against all the G10 currencies. The dollar also is softer against most emerging market currencies. The dollar was fixed at a new low for the year against the Chinese yuan. The yuan has a five-day advance in tow, …

Read More »

US Dollar Comes Back Bid

2025-08-27

by

2025-08-27

Overview: After yesterday's pullback, the US dollar has rebounded. It is trading its best level against several of the G10 currencies since Fed Chair Powell spoke at Jackson Hole before the weekend. Most emerging market currencies are weaker, too, with the notable exception of the pegged Hong Kong dollar, and the Thai baht. The PBOC … Continue...

Read More »

Market Sees Challenge to Fed’s Independence by Trump’s Attempt to Fire Cook

2025-08-26

by

2025-08-26

Overview: The dollar's impressive recovery from the pre-weekend sell-off spurred by comments from Federal Reserve Chair Powell at Jackson Hole was challenged earlier today on news that President Trump was carrying out his threat to fire Federal Reserve Governor Cook. Cook will reportedly challenge the president's authority. The dispute revolves around whether there is "cause", …

Read More »

Markets Consolidate after the Big Moves Before the Weekend

2025-08-25

by

2025-08-25

Overview: The US markets responded dramatically to Federal Reserve Chair Powell's speech at Jackson Hole before the weekend. In today's late August session devoid of much news, the markets are consolidating. The dollar is in narrow ranges, and there may be some more corrective upticks in North America today. Emerging market currencies are more mixed. …

Read More »

The Greenback is Firm Ahead of Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech

2025-08-22

by

2025-08-22

Overview: The dollar stalled after mostly extending this week's gains against the G10 currencies on the back of firmer US rates. The key event ahead of the weekend is Fed Chair Powell's speech in Jackson Hole (10 am ET). The greenback appreciated against all the G10 currencies this week, with the Antipodeans and sterling off …

Read More »

Preliminary August PMI Show Many are Coping with US Shock

2025-08-21

by

2025-08-21

Overview: The broad consolidative tone in the foreign exchange market is continuing today even though nearly all the preliminary August PMI readings showed improvement, including the first time since Russia's invasion of Ukraine that the eurozone's manufacturing PMI is above the 50 boom/bust level. Still, outside of the Norwegian krone, lifted by a stronger-than-expected Q2 …

Read More »

Kiwi Pounded on Dovish Guidance by RBNZ and UK Gilts Rise despite Higher than Expected CPI

2025-08-20

by

2025-08-20

Overview: Leaving aside the New Zealand dollar, which has been tagged for more than 1% after the dovish forward guidance following the central bank's well-telegraphed rate cut, and the Australian dollar, which has been dragged lower after yesterday's poor price action, the G10 currencies are little changed. The greenback is firmer against most emerging market …

Read More »

Market Takes Developments in Stride

2025-08-19

by

2025-08-19

Overview: Capital market activity is subdued. The US dollar and the dollar-bloc currencies ae mostly a little softer, while the other G10 currencies are around 0.1-0.2% firmer. Emerging market currencies are mixed with central European currencies mostly firmer, though the Russian ruble is the notable exception, off about 1%. European bond yields are slightly softer, …

Read More »

Dollar Consolidates as Market Awaits Fresh Incentives

2025-08-18

by

2025-08-18

The US dollar is mostly consolidating today in quiet turnover. Among the G10 currencies, the dollar-bloc, which underperformed before the weekend, are firmer today, while the other G10 currencies are softer. The focus is not so much on data today but on the meeting in the White House with Ukraine's Zelensky and the European leaders to discuss the outcome of the President Trump's talk before the weekend with Putin.

Read More »

Dollar Slumps on the Anniversary of the End of Bretton Woods

2025-08-15

by

2025-08-15

Overview: Today marks the 54th anniversary of the end of the Bretton Woods agreement that pegged the dollar to gold and other currencies to the dollar. Nixon, who was regarded as among the most conservative presidents of his generation also announced a 90-day wage and price freeze and a 10% surcharge on imports. After some …

Read More »

Telling the Fed What to Do is Not Sufficient, US Treasury Secretary Tells BOJ How to Conduct Monetary Policy.

2025-08-14

by

2025-08-14

Overview: The US dollar is mostly firmer today against the G10 currencies, but exceptions are notable. The yen is rising for the third consecutive session, apparently boosted by calls from the US Treasury Secretary for the Bank of Japan to raise rates. The Norwegian krone is slightly higher after the central bank kept rates steady …

Read More »

Greenback Slump Extended

2025-08-13

by

2025-08-13

Overview: The US dollar is under pressure. The losses seen yesterday have been extended against nearly all the G10 currencies. It is also lower against all the emerging market currencies but the Turkish lira and Russian ruble. There were some murmurings the Fed cutting 50 bp next month, and Treasury Secretary Bessent suggested it may …

Read More »

RBA Delivers Dovish Cut, UK’s Labor Market Stabilizes, Attention now US CPI

2025-08-12

by

2025-08-12

Overview: There were three highlights for today and two, the rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia and the UK's labor market update are behind us. The Reserve Bank of Australia delivered a dovish cut after last month's hawkish hold. It signaled scope for two more rate cuts. The UK's labor market appeared to …

Read More »