Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice
Forward Return And The Importance Of Math
During strongly trending bull markets, investors often overlook the importance of math in predicting forward returns. Such is easy to do when the market just seemingly continues to rise without regard to fundamentals. The current environment is also heavily influenced by the impact of "passive indexing," which has distorted market dynamics as well. However, none …
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One Trillion Dollar Package For Musk If He Delivers
With over 75% support, Tesla shareholders approved Elon Musk's record-breaking, one trillion dollar executive compensation package. The deal is contingent on Musk delivering significant value to shareholders. The package is an all-stock plan structured into 12 tranches. If he meets all the milestones, Musk could receive as many as 423.7 million additional shares, equating to …
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Repo Market: Critical Warning Or Bullish Signal
🔎 At a Glance 💬 Ask a Question Have a question about the markets, your portfolio, or a topic you'd like us to cover in a future newsletter? 📩 Email: [email protected]🐦 Follow & DM on X: @LanceRoberts📰 Subscribe on Substack: @LanceRoberts We read every message and may feature your question in next week’s issue! 🏛️ …
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11-7-25 Top 3 Financial Guardrails You Should Know
RIA Advisors’ Financial Guardrails are timeless principles for building lasting wealth and protecting your financial future. Richard Rosso, CFP®, shares insights from decades of experience helping investors avoid common pitfalls and build financial wellness that lasts generations. From annuities and debt control to emotional investing and realistic return expectations, these guardrails are designed to keep you on track — no matter what markets do....
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OpenAI Seeks Government Support
Sarah Friar, OpenAI's CFO, spoke at a Wall Street Journal technology conference to update the audience on the potential of AI. While her comments were very optimistic, she noted that OpenAI seeks continued capital inflows, highlighting the lynchpin for AI development. Her quote below, courtesy of Bloomberg, takes traditional bank and industry financing a step …
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“Money Printing” By The Fed: Fact Or Fiction?
I recently penned an article on "Money Supply Growth," which elicited a very thoughtful response from Garrett Baldwin via Substack. He argued that labeling Federal Reserve operations as "money printing" is not rhetoric, but rather a reality. He points to Ben Bernanke’s 2010 interview, where Bernanke described how the Fed marks up digital accounts. But …
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11-6-25 The Hidden AI Debt Bubble Nobody’s Talking About
AI’s growth is being fueled by massive hidden debt.
In this short video, Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss how companies like $META are using off-balance-sheet SPVs to fund AI infrastructure—creating risks that could echo the leverage traps of the late 1990s.
📺Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
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11-6-25 Nvidia’s Money Loop: Smart Move or Red Flag?
Nvidia just took a $1 billion stake in Nokia—and Nokia plans to spend that money buying Nvidia’s own AI chips. It’s not the first time. Nvidia’s done similar deals with OpenAI, CoreWeave, and xAI, fueling record demand for its GPUs. But is this smart strategy—or circular financing? Some call it vendor financing, others say it’s round-tripping—a tactic that helped inflate the dot-com bubble two decades ago.
Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz...
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Bitcoin Is Off The Leaderboard: Whats Next?
On many recent occasions, we have noted that the market breadth is poor and appears to be worsening. By worsening, we mean that the number of market leaders is declining, and a growing number of stocks, stock factors, sectors, and asset classes are lagging. Currently, the small list of stock factors showing up in SimpleVisor’s …
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11-5-25 Is This Pullback Just The Calm Before The Santa Rally?
$SPY / $QQQ are easing after a strong run since the April low, as more companies $META / $PLTR go unrewarded despite solid earnings, and investors await a potential Supreme Court ruling on tariffs.
In this short video, I explain why this pullback looks like a normal pause before year-end strength and a possible Santa rally.
📺Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
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11-5-25 6 Moves You Should Make Now Before RMDs Start
Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs) can create unexpected tax burdens and impact your retirement income strategy if you’re not prepared. In this episode, we break down six smart financial moves to make before RMDs begin at age 73, so you can stay in control of your taxes, income, and investment strategy.
Whether you’re approaching RMD age or helping a parent prepare, this episode gives you the tools to protect your wealth and avoid common...
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Nvidia Deals: Round Tripping Or Vendor Financing?
“Nvidia takes a $1 billion stake in Nokia” reads a recent CNBC headline. As part of the agreement, Nokia commits to purchasing Nvidia’s AI chips and computer platforms. Additionally, the companies will collaborate to develop 6G cellular technology. Deals like this are becoming more common in the AI industry. Some view Nvidia’s recent investment in …
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Tariffs Are On The Docket: Will SCOTUS Upset The Market?
The Supreme Court (SCOTUS) will begin hearing arguments challenging President Trump’s use of tariffs. Given the market volatility that tariffs have generated over the last six months, the SCOTUS case could prove to be yet another market-moving event. The tariff challengers argue that the administration overstepped its bounds under the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers …
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11-10-25 The Rocket Market: AI, Risk, and What Comes Next
Markets have rocketed higher for six straight months — but how long can it last?
Hedgefund Telemetry founder, Tom Thornton joins Lance Roberts to unpack the forces driving this “Rocket of a Stock Market.” From AI euphoria and sector rotation to passive indexing risks and the Fed’s impact on valuations, we dig into what’s really happening under the surface.
#StockMarketAnalysis #AIBubble #InvestorSentiment #MarketVolatility #TomThornton
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11-4-25 Reality Check For AI Hype Starts Now
AI stocks are finally facing reality after months of run-ups. Stocks like $PLTR and $META crushed earnings but aren’t being rewarded, as investors are finally questioning their sky-high valuations.
In today’s video, I explain why the AI boom faces its first true test—and why managing risk now matters more than ever.
📺Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
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11-4-25 Smart or Risky? How Investors Are Adapting to Today’s Markets
In this episode, we explore how today’s investors are adapting to volatility, inflation, and complexity across markets.
Lance Roberts & Jon Penn explore Structured Notes: These complex instruments promise tailored returns, but they come with tax pitfalls and credit risks investors must understand before buying. We’ll break down how structured notes work—and why they may belong inside an IRA rather than a taxable account.
The Return of...
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Amazon And OpenAI: Yet Another Massive Investment In AI
Yesterday morning, OpenAI announced a massive $38 billion strategic partnership with Amazon Web Services (AWS). This deal highlights OpenAI's diversification strategy amid explosive growth and capacity demands for training advanced models like ChatGPT. Before the deal, OpenAI relied 100% on Microsoft for its cloud infrastructure. In addition to diversifying its cloud servers, the deal may …
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11-24-25 Solana vs Bitcoin: The New Treasury Strategy
Is Solana the next evolution of Bitcoin’s corporate playbook? Lance Roberts and DeFi Development Corp. CFA, Parket White, explore how digital assets like Solana, stablecoins, and tokenized treasuries are reshaping balance sheet strategy for companies and investors alike.
💡 From Bitcoin to Solana, learn how digital asset treasuries are changing the rules of modern finance.
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO...
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11-3-25 The Pavlovian Market: How Fed Trained Investors To Take Big Risks
Markets got addicted to the Fed.
In this Short video, I explain how years of interventions created a Pavlovian market where traders take bigger risks, expecting the Fed to save them every time — the essence of moral hazard.
📺Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
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11-3-25 Investor Dilemma: Pavlov Rings the Bell
Are today’s investors psychologically conditioned to buy every market dip—no matter the risk?
Lance Roberts explores the “Investor Dilemma” through the lens of Pavlov’s classical conditioning, revealing how years of Fed interventions, liquidity injections, and momentum rallies have trained investors to respond to volatility like Pavlov’s dogs to a bell.
#InvestorDilemma #BehavioralFinance #MarketPsychology #BuyTheDip #FinancialEducation
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