Category Archive: 9a) Buy and Hold

Are academian's about to learn the lesson of "no free lunch? What 7% CPI really means in terms of real wages vs inflation; How do you decrease inflation? The political mistake of giving people money instead of supporting the creation of productivity; Jeremy Siegel and The Minksy Moment re-defined; Real assets vs stocks; Bonds vs Stocks--and why we own bonds. 1:13 - SEG-1: What 7% CPI Really Means 12:26 - How Do You Decrease Inflation? 28:13 -...

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(1/13/22) What's hot & what's not? Stocks are still on a rally above the 50- and 20-DMA, still on a sell-signal, but money flows are turning positive--suggesting that markets could rally above all new highs. We're using this rally to rebalance portfolio risk--but rebalance to where? Bonds have also gotten extremely oversold, pushing 3-standard deviations below the 50-DMA. Bond prices are starting to recover, with yields coming down, plenty of...

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This is the second portion of today's show, interrupted during Segment-2 for unknown technical reasons! The first portion can be reviewed here: &list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 The remainder of the show is as follows: 0:42 - The Fed is adamant about adhering to plan of multiple rate hikes this year 15:12 - Post-Pandemic Spending & Prudent Asset Allocation 29:55 - Asset Allocation; Vanguard Target Fund; Self Directed...

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(1/12/22) After receiving Joe Biden's nod to continue as Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome voiced a need for more aggressive rate hiking campaigns, and tapering the Fed's balance sheet even more rapidly this year. This will extract liquidity from the markets. Powell believes the battle to be fought will be high inflation--but what's being missed is the fact that the economic recovery had been fueled by massive liquidity injections--such liquidity is...

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This is the first portion of today's show, interrupted during the second segment for unknown reasons! Jerome Powell now thinks it's time to raise rates and clear the Fed's balance sheets, seeming to ignore the past effects of $5-Trillion in artificial liquidity pumped into the economy. 1:35 - Ready for a holiday...again; Jerome Powell Commentary 12:51 - Deathwish Coffee; Black Rifle Coffee Co; programmus interuptus... [TECHNICAL DIFFICULTIES...

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Has Inflation Begun to Erode Earnings? Rising Wages are showing up at lower end of wage scales; pay differentials for work from home vs work at office; Passive Investing and the bear market mirage; What happens when all this reverses? Markets are fine--until liquidity shifts; The Fed has no ability to really control economy, and has failed for years. Will this be a rotation back to Value? 1:28 - The Impact of Passive Indexing on this Market 12:36...

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(1/11/22) Tech Stocks were under the gun in Monday morning's action, but by midday, the sector experienced a turnaround, breaking through three standard deviation levels from the 50-DMA. This is a short-term bullish set-up for the Nasdaq. Bollinger Bands have compressed a good bit. A rally here should start to spread those bands. Concerns over interest rates, inflation, and Fed liquidity should suggest a bit more choppiness in the index. This would...

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How to keep proper perspective as liquidity begins to drain, and dealing with obscenely lofty earnings expectations for 2022. The FaceBook name change does not change its stripes--or fundamentals; How ETF's rehash liquidity; What will next crisis catalyst be? Why Tesla market cap + all other automakers markets caps cannot be the same. 1:59 - Keeping Proper Perspective as Liquidity Unravels 13:22 - Inflation Is the Big Game Changer for 2022 29:16 -...

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(1/6/22) Markets are pointing lower with the S&P looking to break the 50-DMA; the big question today is whether the selling is almost over. There remains a money flow sell signal, and markets are not entirely over-sold just yet. There is more downside risk to the market, and a retest of the lower range of standard deviations is certainly within the context of a pullback. Nothing major has occurred, other than going through a correctional...

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As the Fed prepares to pull back liquidity, what expectations should be set for market behavior? Is the "F-word" being used way too much? (What 'Fiduciary' really means); The ins and outs of Roth IRAs; providing flexibility in retirement. 1:38 - Setting Expectations for 2022 12:50 - What "Fiduciary Really Means 28:50 -Tex-Mex, Queso, & Roth IRAs 42:53 - Flexibility in Retirement Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial...

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