Category Archive: 9a) Buy and Hold

Has Inflation Begun to Erode Earnings? Rising Wages are showing up at lower end of wage scales; pay differentials for work from home vs work at office; Passive Investing and the bear market mirage; What happens when all this reverses? Markets are fine--until liquidity shifts; The Fed has no ability to really control economy, and has failed for years. Will this be a rotation back to Value? 1:28 - The Impact of Passive Indexing on this Market 12:36...

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(1/11/22) Tech Stocks were under the gun in Monday morning's action, but by midday, the sector experienced a turnaround, breaking through three standard deviation levels from the 50-DMA. This is a short-term bullish set-up for the Nasdaq. Bollinger Bands have compressed a good bit. A rally here should start to spread those bands. Concerns over interest rates, inflation, and Fed liquidity should suggest a bit more choppiness in the index. This would...

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How to keep proper perspective as liquidity begins to drain, and dealing with obscenely lofty earnings expectations for 2022. The FaceBook name change does not change its stripes--or fundamentals; How ETF's rehash liquidity; What will next crisis catalyst be? Why Tesla market cap + all other automakers markets caps cannot be the same. 1:59 - Keeping Proper Perspective as Liquidity Unravels 13:22 - Inflation Is the Big Game Changer for 2022 29:16 -...

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(1/6/22) Markets are pointing lower with the S&P looking to break the 50-DMA; the big question today is whether the selling is almost over. There remains a money flow sell signal, and markets are not entirely over-sold just yet. There is more downside risk to the market, and a retest of the lower range of standard deviations is certainly within the context of a pullback. Nothing major has occurred, other than going through a correctional...

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As the Fed prepares to pull back liquidity, what expectations should be set for market behavior? Is the "F-word" being used way too much? (What 'Fiduciary' really means); The ins and outs of Roth IRAs; providing flexibility in retirement. 1:38 - Setting Expectations for 2022 12:50 - What "Fiduciary Really Means 28:50 -Tex-Mex, Queso, & Roth IRAs 42:53 - Flexibility in Retirement Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial...

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The Markets' Wednesday reaction to Fed Minutes on Rasing Rates was the worst on record--but was it justified? Will the Fed's panic attack result in another collossal policy blunder? A long term look at Automobile sector and chip fiascos. Is the Fed's "normalization" the rigth approach? 1:27 - Market Reaction to Fed: Worst Response on Record? 12:30 - Will the Fed Panic into Another Policy Mistake? 28:27 - How Does the Fed Clear Its Balance...

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(1/6/22) Markets' sharp sell off on Fed Minutes stating a reduction of its balance sheet--essentially, taking away the punch bowl and hiding it. But was it all so bad? Looking at Market performance from a longer-term perspective, going back to March 2020, the correction we saw yesterday is well within the norms of the bullish trend under which we've been operating. But--is this time different? The pattern of rallies, consolidation, and re-testing...

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What Happens when Biden Child Tax Credit Leaves? Will 2022 be a year of higher volatility? What happens as liquidity leaves the market and things return to "normal?" Why does the Fed always raise rates at the wrong time? 1:51 - The Aftermath of Excess Liquidity 13:07 - Will Liquidity and Speculation Define 2022? 29:03 -What Happens When the Liquidity Leaves? 43:03 -Being Responsive, not Reactive to Markets Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief...

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