Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice

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Welcome to the Pain Trade Zone

2022-07-28

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(7/28/22) With the Fed's announced 75-bp rate hike, investors are now in Pain Trade Territory, acting on the FOMO principal of not wanting to miss the markets' bottom when the Fed pivots. Democrats' new plan for $400-billion in government spending to be paid for by imposing a new corporate minimum income tax: The Inflation Fighting Plan, using inflationary tactics in the process. House Speaker Pelosi's husband liquidated chip maker stocks ahead of...

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Is the Bottom In for Microsoft & Google? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-07-27

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(7/27/22) There is an interesting opportunity for investors in companies that miss estimates, yet rally afterwards, despite whatever bad news has been released. Could that be the case with two giants of the S&P and NASDAQ, Microsoft and Google? Additionally, was the less-than-happy news already priced-in to these stocks? Still to be seen is whether they can hold their current bottom, and rally above their 50-DMA. Both stocks are major players...

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Will the Fed Surprise or Pivot?

2022-07-27

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(7/27/22) The Federal Reserve later today is to make an announcement about interest rates, expected to boost the overnight lending rate by 75 basis points...but could Powell & o. cave to political pressure and pivot towards a kinder, gentler interest rate? In fact, there's a reason higher interest rates are healthier for the economy and individuals' financial well-being; there is a dark side to low interest rates, which prevent the natural...

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Inventory Builds & Declining Store Traffic | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-07-26

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(7/26/22) Walmart blames inflation for a less-than-enthusiastic outlook, after previously warning about inventory builds. Monday's Q2 report underscored those concerns, as well as declining store traffic.

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The “No Recession” Myth is Nonsense

2022-07-26

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(7/26/22) Treasury Sec'y. Janet Yellen says there's no recession in sight, but yield curve performance would challenge that assessment. WalMart and UPS warnings it's no longer cheap to go to McDonald's. Watching Retailers' reports to reveal how American's are spending money.

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Who’s Right–Stocks or Bonds?| 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-07-25

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(7/25/22) Markets got a little over-extended last week, pulling back and retesting the 50-DMA without violating it. That turned previous resistance into support, broke out of the downtrend channel, and set up a row of higher lows.

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Buy Back Blackout Ends

2022-07-25

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(7/25/22) It's a busy week of earnings reporting as July comes to an end, and the lifting of the blackout on corporate stock buy backs stands to free up $11-billion of daily activity. How did Markets react to inflation of the '60's vs now?

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Recession Progression Episode (7/22/22): Market Analysis & Personal Finance commentary from RIA A…

2022-07-22

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#Markets #Money #Investing

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Will the S&P Reach 4,170? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-07-21

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(7/21/22) From a bullish standpoint, there seems to be a lot of bullish input: MACD's on a buy signal, and markets are on a defined uptrend. The next level up will be 4170 on the S&P. We've seen this before, but here come the seasonally-weak months of the year.

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Hasbro, Target, Wal-Mart’s Inventory Surpluses

2022-07-21

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(7/21/22) Will the Fed cave to inflation and pivot on its interest rate hike course--and what will the effects be on markets? Will Markets' recent bottoms hold? Negative sentiment prevails--much of the recent rally has been driven by short-selling.

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Have We Reached the Bottom Yet? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-07-20

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(7/20/22) We haven't seen investors THIS negative since 2008--does this suggest we're nearing a market bottom? This is not then: We're running the highest inflation rate in 40-years, the Fed is tightening its balance sheet AND hiking interest rates.

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Could Millennials Sink the Mortgage Market?

2022-07-20

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(7/20/22) Mortgage eman is at a 22-year low; that's not the only reason house prices are falling; technical charts on't lie. The market is own less than 20% for the year; has FOMO become FOBO--the fear of missing the bottom?

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Apple Announces Hiring Freeze–Others to Follow? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-07-19

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(7/19/22) Stocks were poised to break above the downtrend, but Apple's announcement to freeze hiring killed market momentum. Hiring freezes are the first step before layoffs--because the economy is slowing down.

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Why Home Ownership is Warped By Lending Gimmicks

2022-07-19

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(7/19/22) Monday's rally fails (thanks, Apple); things are so negative, it's positive. Investors' "fear of missing out (FOMO)" has become a "fear of missing the bottom (FOBO);" this market performance isn't as bad as post 2008 or post-Lehman markets; the "American Dream" of home ownership has been warped by lending gimmicks; Markets' reaction to Apple hiring freeze--there's bad news and not-as-bad news.

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Earnings Season Has Arrived–More Disappointments Ahead? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-07-18

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(7/18/22) Earnings season gets underway in earnest as most S&P 500 companies report; the Big Question is whether analysts have adjusted estimates enough--or are there more disappointments ahead? Forward-looking outlooks will be a big driver of prices.

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Why There is No Middle Class in Italy

2022-07-18

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(7/18/22) Lance returns from Vacation: No Market crash while he was away! Why Markets are ripe for a Rally; Investors' FOMO is aimed at a Market Bottom. Earnings Season continues apace: Q1 Estimates becoming Q2 Results: Watch changes in valuation from start of Quarter to the end of Quarter;

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Higher Taxes are Coming: What You Can Do About it Now

2022-07-16

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Are we in an Earnings Recession? With sticky price-inflation, is 2% inflation even achievable? How people are changing habits; the recovery will likely take longer this time. Where should you park your money?

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Giant Corporations Are Causing Inflation?

2022-07-15

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2022-07-15

“Giant corporations are using inflation as cover to raise their prices & boost their profits. In industry after industry, we have too little competition & companies have too much power to increase prices. I’ve been calling out this corporate profiteering & price gouging” – Sen. Elizabeth Warren

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Is It Time to Shop in Thrift Stores?

2022-07-15

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(7/14/22) Richard Rosso's West Texas ERCOT Ditty; Inflation reality and Nana Clara's recipe for saving money; Demand destruction + Supply Disruption; shopping at Thrift Stores; the significance of JPMorgan's share buyback suspension; dealing with inflation on all levels. Let's put Salma Hayek on the $100-dollar bill; the similarities and differences of JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley's estimate misses; what late filings may mean. 1:37 - The Fed's 2%...

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How to Look at Your 401k Without Freaking Out

2022-07-14

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(7/13/22) COVID fallout continues around the world: Travel delays and limitations at London Heathrow; what will Fed rate hikes mean for small businesses? Legislative changes for employee benefits; what are the benefits of Benefits?

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