Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice

Filter archive by: Show All Show only Articles Show only Videos

Can Markets Muster Continuation of the Rally? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-10-24

by

(10/24/22) Markets rallied sharply off the 20-DMA on Friday to deliver a 90% upside day for stocks. Futures are pointing higher this morning, begging the question, can markets muster a continuation of the rally over the next few days as we put the wraps on October? 45% of the S&P companies will report earnings this week; the buyback blackout window ends on Friday, and the Fed is set to meet next week, with hopes that talk of ending rate hikes...

Read More »

The Difference Between Inflation and the Cost of Living

2022-10-24

by

(10/24/22) Comcast Cable outage coincides with Astro's weekend watch parties as the home team advances to the World Series. Again. Market Commentary: Setting up for some nice action to end the month, with a possible change in Fed stance on interest rates. The top concerns this election season: Inflation and the economy. The problems from un-educated voters; Nancy-nomics, Inflation, and the cost of living. Is the Fed thinking about talking about a...

Read More »

Is There a Positive Side to Inflation?

2022-10-21

by

(10/21/22) Higher inflation is no reason to stop making contributions to your retirement savings, regardless of mode: Just alter the allocations. No Shift. What happens after the mid-terms? Inflation isn't budging; the Fed went too far, and we'll see more adverse effects in 2023. There's no place to hide but in Cash. What happens if Yields continue to rise; interest rates can only go so far. When is Inflation is a Good Thing? COLA on Social...

Read More »

Buyback Blackout Window Nears the End | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-10-20

by

(10/20/22) The end of October brings the end of the current buyback blackout window, as earnings continue to come in, fast and furiously. Stocks are set to trade upwards this morning as the markets maintain a bullish trend. Interestingly, while markets were setting new lows, divergent indicators weren't, which is a bullish sign.

Read More »

The Fed’s Next Crisis (10/20/22): Market Analysis & Commentary from RIA Advisors Chief Investment…

2022-10-20

by

#Markets #Money #Investment_Advice

Read More »

Can Markets Hit 4100? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-10-19

by

(10/19/22) Futures are depressed after two-days of rallying, which is not surprising. Markets did set a new low following last week's CPI report, confirming the divergence we saw in the MAC-D and Relative Strength index, suggesting a short-term bottom at least.

Read More »

Market Sloppiness on the Way

2022-10-19

by

(10/19/22) We are well into another "Millennial Earnings Season," where companies are rewarded for lowering estimates in order to beat earnings estimates; everyone gets a participation trophy! A real tell will be Consumer Retail Sales results as an end-of-year measure of consumer strength. Look for market sloppiness for the next week; the none-stages of a Bear Market.

Read More »

Can Markets Hit 4100? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-10-18

by

(10/18/22) Why is the 200-WMA considered critical support for the markets? While we've been in a correction-mode, we're technically not in a bear market...yet...because we haven't violated the bullish trend of the 200-WMA.

Read More »

The Chase is On

2022-10-18

by

(10/18/22) Markets appear to have plenty of fuel for a rally today; tracking the 200-Week Moving Average; the Bear hasn't appeared yet; Halloween spending and pumpkin methane; the chase is on: has the rally commenced?

Read More »

What to Do If the Market Hits 3900 | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-10-17

by

(10/17/22) Last week's roller-coaster market following the latest CPI report, ended the week holding the support line that had been building since the beginning of October. The potential for a rally remains the case: we're looking for markets to hit 3,900, and that will be the point where we want to sell some equities to reduce risk. Trading could remain sloppy for the next few days, but by the end of the month, two things will provide additional...

Read More »

Why We’re Not In a Bear Market…Yet

2022-10-17

by

(10/17/22) Halloween is the second-biggest retail shopping event of the year; earnings season begins today; markets continue to hold onto bottoms, with lots of volatility. After mid-term elections, watch for negative revisions to economic reports. The Roberts' House-hunting begins; the Fed's Third Mandate: Jacking-up asset prices with a litany of actions to boost equities. What happens when stocks outgrow what the economy can generate? Is there...

Read More »

Is Your Financial Advisor Worth It?

2022-10-14

by

(10/14/22) September CPI is less than August, but still over 8%: is less-bad news now good news? Calculating Halloween Inflation: Trick or Treat? Why are some are delaying retirement: Economics or Boredom? Dealing with inflation: Couponing & Fuel Points. The 8% COLA for Social Security vs means testing and taxation of benefits. Why a drop in Medicare premiums might not make up for last year's increases. Is what you're paying your financial...

Read More »

Is the Fed Creating Another Problem for Itself? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-10-13

by

(10/13/22) Remember the genesis of Quantitative Easing in the 2008 financial crisis? Here we discuss the mechanism of how QT works, the debt issuance that's required, and why rising interest rates are creating an unsustainable scenario today for the Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary:...

Read More »

The Whole World is Over-leveraged

2022-10-13

by

(10/13/22) CPI did come in hotter-than anticipated; the Fed's conundrum with QE vs QT; The whole world is over-leveraged; UK pension funds are drowning in it. Collateral calls, when models fail, and banks' stress tests don't mean much; the pension funds in the UK will be a social crisis that creates a financial crisis world wide. Boeing's Dreamlifter nightmare; many financial articles are being written by those who've never lived through a bear...

Read More »

The 200-WMA is the Markets’ Line in the Sand | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-10-12

by

(10/12/22) While it may FEEL like we're in a bear market after the declines this year, so far, the data would suggest otherwise: Markets remain in a very bullish trend, long term. Tracing the 200-week moving average since the 2008 financial crisis reveals a steady, upwards track which has not changed up until this point. Yes, markets are now testing the 200-WMA, which would appear to be the line in the sand between a bull market trend and a...

Read More »

Inflation Report Preview Episode (10/12/22): Market Analysis & Personal Finance commentary from R…

2022-10-12

by

(10/12/22) Janet Yellen tells CNBC essentially, "What, me worry?" Will the Recession be as "mild" as expected? Consumption will eventually slow down; "good" employment numbers are a lagging indicator AND subject to revision. Greta endorses nukes for electricity; the challenge of creating financial stability during transitional times. The Inmate Money Scammer; finding financial security in the U.S.; what happens with a...

Read More »

Is Inflation Cooling? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-10-11

by

(10/11/22) Oil prices were over sold and due for a rally, which came to fruition, and we took off some energy exposure on Monday. OPEC cuts and tapping the SPR is creating a forecast for higher oil prices, yet. If oil prices stabilize at $85-87/bbl and work off their overboughtedness, we could then see another rally up to $100/bbl by the end of the year. However, oil prices have declined over all from their peak earlier this year. We're looking for...

Read More »

This is not the 1970’s Inflation

2022-10-11

by

(10/11/22) Is Jamie Dimon correct in predicting a recession by 2023? 263k jobs number is great, but part of a declining trend. The Paradox of Savings makes for a weaker economy; earnings season is coming with estimates still too high. CEO confidence is at record lows, anticipating layoffs, starting with work-at-home employees. Employment growth is trending negatively. The Fed WILL make a policy mistake, and there is clear evidence Recession will...

Read More »

Why Pandemic Home Buyers Now Regret Their Purchase

2022-10-08

by

(10/7/22) Big Jobs numbers come out today amid a growing climate of negativity on the part of CEO's, anticipating layoffs in coming months; workers are essentially receiving pay cuts, thanks to effects of wages failing to keep up with inflation. Why older workers make better employees. Pandemic Homebuyers are having buyer's remorse; another example of lizard-brain investors not thinking-through a transaction; more and more American's are being...

Read More »

How Do Mid-term Elections Affect Stocks?

2022-10-07

by

(10/10/22) The mid-term elections are about a month away, and with stocks down sharply for most of the year, one can't help but wonder what November's polling will mean to markets. Where inflation came from. How did the Kardashian's do it? [NOTE: Lance & The Crew are taking the day off, and will return return to live programming Tuesday (10-11-22). Here is an encore segment from a recent episode of The Real Investment Show.} Hosted by RIA...

Read More »