Category Archive: 4) FX Trends

Main Author Marc Chandler
Marc Chandler
He has been covering the global capital markets in one fashion or another for more than 30 years, working at economic consulting firms and global investment banks. After 14 years as the global head of currency strategy for Brown Brothers Harriman, Chandler joined Bannockburn Global Forex, as a managing partner and chief markets strategist as of October 1, 2018.

GBPUSD falls to new session low and tests Friday’s low in the process

The GBPUSD has fallen to a new session low, indicating that sellers are exerting more control over the currency pair. In the process, the pair tests the lows from last week and a significant swing area between 1.2738 and 1.2759. Join us as we closely monitor the GBPUSD's price action and discuss the implications of the ongoing selling pressure. Stay informed with our analysis to make well-informed trading decisions in the dynamic forex market.

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EURUSD tilts technical bias further to the downside today. Pair looks toward next downside targets.

The technical bias for the EURUSD has further tilted to the downside today. As the pair heads lower, traders are now eyeing a swing area between 1.09329 and 1.09421 as the immediate downside target. Beyond that, attention turns to the 100-day moving average at 1.0909, which will serve as a crucial barometer for both buyers and sellers if tested. Join us as we closely monitor the EURUSD's movements and discuss potential scenarios for the pair in...

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RBA Holds Fire, Greenback Rebounds

Overview: The dollar has come back bid. It is rising against all the major currencies today. The Reserve Bank of Australia left rates steady and the poor Chinese Caixin PMI is weighing on the Australian dollar, which is off about 1.25% today. Sterling is the best G10 performer, off about 0.1%. Perhaps, the BOE's meeting on Thursday is helping to deflect some of the selling pressure. Emerging market currencies are also nearly all lower, led by the...

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NZDUSD returns to a cluster of MAs including the 100 hour MA, 200 hour MA and 200 day MA

In this analysis, we closely observe the NZDUSD's recent price movement, which has led the currency pair back to a cluster of important moving averages (MAs). Specifically, the 100-hour MA, 200-hour MA, and 200-day MA converge at this critical point. Join us as we discuss the significance of these MAs and explore how they will serve as the key barometer for the new trading day. Stay informed and make well-informed trading decisions in the dynamic...

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BOJ Moves to Slow JGB Sell-Off, while Month-End is Making for Subdued Price Action in FX outside the Yen

Overview:  The Bank of Japan took the market by surprise with its adjustment of the cap on the 10-year yield before the weekend, and then stepped in to buy the government bond as yields rose in reaction today. The move helped lift the dollar to JPY142.50. from where it had settled on Friday (~JPY141.15). The dollar is mostly softer, however, with only the yen and Swiss franc weaker. The Australian dollar is leading the other currencies higher ahead...

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August 2023 Monthly

Prices pressures are abating, albeit gradually, while economic momentum is faltering. The data in the coming weeks will help shape expectations for rate decisions for September. As the market pushed back against the Federal Reserve's forward guidance that anticipated two hikes in the second half, the US dollar fell against the G10 currencies, but found support beginning around the middle of the July as the market was reluctant to return to pricing...

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The AUDUSD is back below the longer-term 200 & 100 day MAs tilting the technical bias down

As we finish the trading week and look toward the new trading week, the sellers are more in control in the AUDUSD. Having said that, the pair has been mostly in an up-and-down trading range over the last 5 trading months. With the bias down, what would tilt the bias more to the upside, and if those levels can't be breached, what would get the price outside the 5-month up and down trading range.

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USDJPY makes a new week low today, then tests the high for week. What’s up for next week?

Bias is positive/bullish to end the week. The USDJPY traded to a new low today, and also equaled the high for the week. The day has been volatile, but is more bullish heading into the close and the new trading week. What does the price action and technicals say for next week's trading? This video will define the bias, and outline the key levels that would tilt the bias either more to the upside (the buyers are more in control), or reverse the bias...

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As Europe heads home, what are the EURUSD technicals telling us for next week’s trading?

A broad review of the technicals from a short and long term perspective. Be aware and be prepared, by watching the above video and understanding the key levels that will drive the bias for the EURUSD going forward.

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GBPUSD this week stayed within support and resistance targets. Trades near neutral levels.

The price action this week sets traders up for trading going forward into the new week

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ForexLive Video: USDJPY has a volatile up and down day as traders digest BOJ move

The Bank of Japan met and eased their yield curve control on the 10 year effectively expanding their tolerance by a further 50 basis points to 1.0%. That news - and the other news this week - has the pair moving back toward a neutral level after up-and-down-volatility. The pair is trading near the 38.2% of the range since the end of June high at 140.224 and the 100 and 200-hour MAs at 140.517 and 140.25 respectively.

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ForexLive Video: EURUSD corrects higher into overhead resistance

EURUSD trades above and below the 1.1000 level today

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USDJPY Technical Analysis

Here's a quick technical analysis on USDJPY with some fundamental background. For more visit ForexLive.com

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The Dow string of 13 higher closes is in jeopardy of ending today. What next?

The major indices are all lower today as gains are erased

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ForexLive Video: The USDCAD has a few things pushing and pulling the pair in trading today

Oil is higher and above $80 for the first time since April. Bullish for the CAD. The US fundamentals were strong today with better data. Bearish for the CAD.

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ForexLive Video: USDCHF is banging against key resistance on the weekly chart and hourly chart too

The 0.8699 area is key resistance for the USDCHF. The USDCHF traded to a new low in the European session, taking out the low price from July 18. However, that low was just by a PIP or 2 before moving back to the upside. The gains were helped by better US data this morning which showed stronger GDP, a stronger job market, and a stronger consumer/business market as well (durable goods were higher). Technically, the move to the upside took the...

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ForexLive Video: AUDUSD is down testing a key support target area. What defines that area?

The AUDUSD moves lower to test key support targets. The AUDUSD is trading lower with the stronger dollar and in the process, the price is testing it at 200-day moving average of 0.67246. The last few days have seen early buyers against that moving average level on each of the dips. A break below would have traders targeting the low from Monday's trade at 0.67143. Get below that level and the door opens for further selling potential with the...

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ForexLive Video: USDJPY moves higher and tests key 100 hour MA/50% retracement target

The USDJPY is moving higher helped by stronger US data today. The move to the upside has the pair testing the 100-hour MA at 140.99. The 50% midpoint of the recent move lower comes in at 141.15. Getting above those levels is needed to increase the bullish bias in the pair going forward.

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ForexLive Video: EURUSD moves lower as strong US data sends the pair lower. ECB hikes

Join us in this ForexLive video as we analyze the recent price action of the EURUSD currency pair. The pair experienced a downward movement as a result of robust US economic data and ECB President Lagarde's remarks about the deteriorating near-term outlook. We'll discuss the implications of these factors on the EURUSD and explore potential scenarios for the pair in light of the changing market sentiment. Stay informed with our analysis to make...

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