Category Archive: 4) FX Trends
If confused about the price action today, watch this video on the NZDUSD.
Sometimes the market balances and battles. In those situations, set your technical levels and listen to the market.
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Forex markets react to mixed US data. What next technically for the EURUSD, USDJPY, GBPUSD
What levels are in play? What are the technical bias' for the 3 major pairs. Stocks lower. Yields down and up and down.
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Soft US Headline CPI is Unlikely to Be Sufficient to Reanimate Expectations of another Large Fed Cut
Overview: The US dollar is mostly softer ahead of the September CPI. The euro and Canadian dollar have recorded new lows for the move. The greenback extended its gains against the yen to JPY149.55 but has fallen to new session lows in the European morning near JPY148.85. Given the pushback against Fed Chair Powell's 50 bp cut last month revealed in the FOMC minutes, it will take more than a soft headline CPI today to renew speculation of another...
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The NZDUSD continued the fall that started last week after the RBNZ rate cut. What next?
The pair has now corrected 61.8% of the 2024 trading range and is trying to find support. Can the retracement level hold?
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Sellers in the AUDUSD are looking to increase the bearish bias. What does that look like?
In the video, I take a technical at the AUDUSD. The sellers are looking to increase the bearish bias with a technical break below the 38.2% of the move up from the August low at 0.67146
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USDCAD buyers making a play with a break above and away from 100 day moving average
The 100-day MA comes in at 1.36819. The September high at 1.36467. That area is now KEY support. A move back below is not good technically in the short term at least.
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Now that the USDCHF has broken higher, can the buyers keep the run going?Key targets ahead
The high from last week reached 0.86072 and is the next target. The 38.2% of the move down from the August high is at 0.86312.
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The kickstart video for Oct 9 looks at the technicals that drive the three major FX pairs
The EURUSD rotates lower and toward key technical support. The GBPUSD bounces ahead of the 50% retracement again. The USDJPY also bounced off a key corrective support target. A special look at the NZDUSD after the RBNZ 50 bp rate cut.
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CSI 300 Drops 7%, Oil Steadies, and the US Dollar Remains Firm
Overview: We suspect the market overreacted to the US jobs data, which was tainted by the lowest "establishment" response in over two decades and seasonal adjustments were likely thrown off by Hurricane Helene and the 33k strike at Boeing. We think Fed officials, and more speak today, have confirmed that it was not the game changer than many market participants think, which was likely influenced by positioning. It did help facilitate the...
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AUDUSD falls below swing area ow/61.8% retracement at 0.6744. That is key ST resistance.
The sellers in the AUDUSD are making a play as it looks toward the 100 day MA target on the downside at 0.6688.
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USDCAD makes a break above high from September, 100 day MA and broken 38.2% retracement
Can the price stay above 1.3646 now? Buyers on the break will want to see increased upside momentum on the break.
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USDCHF moves into “Red Box” but bounces off 100 hour MA. Buyers in control.
The 100-hour MA comes to the rescue and sellers forced its way back into the Red Box in the Asian session. Buyers still in control.
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What are the technicals in play for the 3 major currency pairs today. Watch and learn.
Kickstart the forex trading day for October 8 with a technical look at the EURUSD USDJPY and GBPUSD.
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Dollar-Bloc Currencies are Disappointed by the Lack of New Chinese Fiscal Stimulus
Overview: The US dollar is mixed but is mostly consolidating. The Australian dollar is a notable exception. The lack of new fiscal initiatives from China weighed on the Aussie, which is off for the fourth consecutive session. The other dollar-bloc currencies have also seen the recent losses extended. On the other hand, the Japanese yen and euro enjoy a firmer bias. After a dreadful drop in factory order, German industrial production surprised to...
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The AUDUSD fall below MA and retracement support and runs to the downside
The AUDUSD fell below the 200 bar MA on the 4-hour chart snd the 50% of the move up from the September low at 0.67813.
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