Category Archive: 4) FX Trends
Why the Canadian dollar will continue to struggle
The Canadian dollar is threatening to worst levels since May 2020 in what would be a major range breakout. Aside from brief periods during covid and the oil price collapse in 2016 (both less than a month long), this would be the lowest level since 2003. I expect this period of weakness to be longer lasting as the three legs of the Canadian economy – housing, immigration and resources extraction – are all impaired.
Adam Buitton, chief currency...
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Kickstart the FX trading day for Oct 29 w/a technical look at the EURUSD, USDJPY & GBPUSD
The USD is moving higher in early US trading. What levels are in play and why. I will outline those levels in this video.
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Consolidative Tone in FX Ahead of Key Events and Data
Overview: A consolidative tone is emerging in the foreign exchange market as the week's key events begin tomorrow: UK budget, eurozone and US Q3 GDP, and the US ADP private sector jobs estimate, and quarterly refunding. Outside of the Norwegian krone, which is up nearly 0.5%, the other G10 currencies are largely +/- 0.1%. The yen, Swiss franc, and antipodeans are trading with a slightly heavier bias. Among emerging market currencies, most from the...
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USDJPY Technical Analysis – There are no bullish drivers for the JPY
#usdjpy #forex #technicalanalysis
In this video you will learn about the latest fundamental developments for the USDJPY pair. You will also find technical analysis across different timeframes for a better overall outlook on the market.
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Topics covered in the video:
0:00 Fundamental Outlook.
0:57 Technical Analysis with Optimal Entries.
2:11 Upcoming Catalysts...
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USDCHF sellers push against swing low floor from the end of last week
Move below 0.8649 opens the door for a move toward the broken 38.2% of the range since July high
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Japan’s LDP Loses Majority, Sending Yen Lower, and Oil Gaps Lower on Middle East Developments
Overview: The next couple of weeks in the capital markets are likely to be tumultuous, and the loss of the LDP majority in Japan get it started. The yen gapped lower amid the immediate uncertainty. The yen is off about 0.5% toward the middle of today's range. Leaving aside the Scandis, where are mixed, the other G10 currencies are little changed, +/- 0.15%. The euro has recovered above $1.08, where options for 2.3 bln euros expire tomorrow....
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Week Ahead: Buckle Up–Turbulence Coming
The US dollar extended its dramatic recovery against the major currencies for the fourth consecutive week. The dollar's rally seems to stand on two-legs. The first shift in the expected trajectory of Fed policy, which has been partly encouraged by relatively firm economic data, both surveys and real sector reports. The derivatives market has from discounting 75 bp of cuts before the end of the year to not be quite sure that 50 bp will be delivered....
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AUDUSD trades below 50% midpoint, and around the 200 day MA
Swing area on the downside comes in between 0.66189 and 0.6628. Breaking below is more bearish.
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USDCAD buyers hold support. Tests the high for the week. Buyers in control.
For the week, the low was on Monday. Up and down price action through the BOC rate cut, but the corrective probing was modest with a floor at 1.3813 now.
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USDCHF continues to consolidate near highs. 200 hour MA in play now at 0.8651
The up and down this week in the USDCHF has allowed the 200 hour MA to catch up with the price. That level comes in at 0.8651 and is a close bias defining level for traders now.
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FX Becalmed Ahead of the Weekend and Next Week’s Big Events
Overview: The dollar is trading quietly, with a slightly firmer today. There has been little follow-through selling after yesterday's setback. The Canadian dollar and sterling are faring best. The yen is a little softer after Tokyo's CPI came in lower as expected due to the government's energy subsidy. The election for the lower house of the Diet is held Sunday. Emerging market currencies are also mostly softer. The JP Morgan Emerging Market...
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USDJPY Technical Analysis – Key levels in play
#usdjpy #forex #technicalanalysis
In this video you will learn about the latest fundamental developments for the USDJPY pair. You will also find technical analysis across different timeframes for a better overall outlook on the market.
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Topics covered in the video:
0:00 Fundamental Outlook.
1:15 Technical Analysis with Optimal Entries....
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The AUDUSD buyers had their shot, but missed. The price moves back toward 200 day MA
The price is rotating back lower and looks toward the 200 day MA at 0.6628. Break below (and below 0.6619) and the door opens to the downside.
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