Category Archive: 4) FX Trends

Main Author Marc Chandler
Marc Chandler
He has been covering the global capital markets in one fashion or another for more than 30 years, working at economic consulting firms and global investment banks. After 14 years as the global head of currency strategy for Brown Brothers Harriman, Chandler joined Bannockburn Global Forex, as a managing partner and chief markets strategist as of October 1, 2018.
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FX Daily, March 17: Even Turn Around Tuesday is Flat

2020-03-17

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2020-03-17

Overview:  While the markets are not as disorderly as they have been, the tone is fragile, and the animal spirits have been crushed.  Australian stocks fell more than 10% last week and dropped another 9.7% yesterday before rebounding by almost 6% today to be one of the few Asia Pacific equity markets to rise.  The Nikkei eked out a small gain, but the broader Topix rose 2.6%.

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FX Daily, March 16: Monday Blues: Fed Moves Bigly and Stocks Slump

2020-03-16

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2020-03-16

Overview: The Federal Reserve and central banks in the Asia Pacific region acted forcefully, but were unable to ease the consternation of investors. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut key rates by 75 bp. The Bank of Japan appears to have doubled its ETF purchase target to JPY12 trillion, and the Reserve Bank of Australia is preparing for new measures that will be announced Thursday.

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Coronavirus: Why more black swans are coming

2020-03-13

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Adam Button, currency analyst at ForexLive talks about the outlook for global markets and the many, mounting risks. Most people are overly focused on the first-order risks from coronavirus but the second-order effects are what's going to swamp sentiment -- even more than it is already. Adam talks about where the Canadian dollar is headed and where to hide. LET'S CONNECT! Facebook â–ş http://facebook.com/forexlive Twitter â–ş...

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Coronavirus: Why more black swans are coming

2020-03-13

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Adam Button, currency analyst at ForexLive talks about the outlook for global markets and the many, mounting risks. Most people are overly focused on the first-order risks from coronavirus but the second-order effects are what’s going to swamp sentiment — even more than it is already. Adam talks about where the Canadian dollar is headed …

Read More »

FX Daily, March 12: Trump Dump as Market Turns to ECB

2020-03-12

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2020-03-12

Overview: After the Bank of England and the UK Treasury announced both monetary and fiscal support, the focus turns to the ECB, but the proximity of the US Congressional recess (next week) without strong fiscal measures being in place sucked the oxygen away from other issues. President Trump's national address in the Asian session failed to reassure investors.

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FX Daily, March 11: US Over-Promises and Under-Delivers, while BOE Steps Up with 50 bp Rate Cut

2020-03-11

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2020-03-11

Overview: The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrials sold off after the higher open and briefly traded below yesterday's lows. Investors seemed disappointed that the Trump Administration was not ready with specific policies after Monday's tease that had initially helped lift Asia Pacific and European markets earlier on Tuesday. This sparked a sharp decline in Europe into the close.

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FX Daily, March 10: Markets Stabilize after Body Blow

2020-03-10

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2020-03-10

Overview:  It appears after a few days of miscues, US officials struck the right chord, and the global capital markets seemed to stabilize shortly after the US session ended.  President Trump's press conference today is expected to spell out in greater detail relief for households and businesses.  Asia Pacific equities rallied, led by a 3% surge in Australia.

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FX Daily, March 9: Monday Meltdown

2020-03-09

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2020-03-09

Overview: Equities plunged, and yields sank as the coronavirus threatens a global recession. The oil price war signaled by Saudi Arabia and Russia aggravates the desperate situation. Equities markets in the Asia Pacific region slumped 3-7%. The Shanghai Composite was fell 3%. The Nikkei was off by 5%, and Australia was hit among the hardest with a 7.3% loss.

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FX Daily, March 06: Panic Deepens, US Employment Data Means Little

2020-03-06

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2020-03-06

The sharp sell-off in US equities and yields yesterday is spurring a mini-meltdown globally today. Many of the Asia Pacific markets, including Japan, Australia, Taiwan, and India, saw more than 2% drops, while most others fell more than 1%. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index snapped the four-day advance had lifted it about 2.8% coming into today.

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Raffi Boyadjian | Precision Timekeepers Meet Motorsport | #RaffiBoyadjian | #Raffi_Boyadjian

2020-03-06

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Raffi Boyadjian | Glorious victory or heartbreaking defeat - it all hinges on a matter of seconds in the world of auto racing. It should, therefore, come as no surprise that there's a big need for high-precision timekeepers. Naturally, industry leaders have historically turned to Switzerland. Based in La Chaux-de-Fonds, high in the Jura mountains, is a brand that is known the world over for its precise watchmaking prowess and cult chronographs:...

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FX Daily, March 5: The Capital Markets YoYo Continues

2020-03-05

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2020-03-05

Overview: The 4.2% rally in the S&P 500 yesterday helped lift Asia Pacific markets earlier today, and the five basis point backing up of the US 10-year yield pushed regional yields higher. However, the coattails proved short, and Europe's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 is snapping a three-day advance and is off about 1.3% in late morning turnover to give back yesterday's gains.

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FX Daily, March 4: Equities Trade Higher, While Yields Continue to Fall

2020-03-04

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2020-03-04

Overview:  The G7 delivered up a nothing burger than was shortly followed by a 50 bp Fed cut.  The equity market seemed to enjoy it briefly and extended Monday's dramatic gains, before falling out of bed.  The S&P 500 lost about 2.2%, while the Dow Industrial slumped 3%, but shortly after the markets closed, equities began recovering, and the recovery carried over to the Asia Pacific region and Europe.

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Raffi Boyadjian | Pocket Watches | #Raffi_Boyadjian

2020-03-04

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Raffi Boyadjian | Die Taschenuhr: altmodisches Relikt oder zeitloser Klassiker? Raffi Boyadjian — Invented sometime in the early 16th century, the humble pocket watch served as an indispensable timekeeping companion for the better part of four centuries. #RaffiBoyadjian #Raffi_Boyadjian #chrono24

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Raffi Boyadjian | Men’s Watches — A Simple Way to Add Style | #RaffiBoyadjian

2020-03-04

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Raffi Boyadjian — When buying a men’s watch, there are many things to consider. Honestly, most men should probably own at least three watches, which we will go over, but the truth is, most men prefer one watch and will wear it regardless of what they’re doing. #RaffiBoyadjian #Raffi_Boyadjian

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March Monthly

2020-03-03

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2020-03-03

The new coronavirus that originated in China, apparently first detected in December, emerged on the world's stage in January and continues to dominate the investment climate. There are two critical questions for investors and businesses whose answers will likely be clearer in the first part of March. First, will Covid-19 be contained for the most part by the end of Q1? 

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FX Daily, March 2: Central Banks’ Words of Assurance have Short Life

2020-03-02

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2020-03-02

Overview: Comments beginning with Powell before the weekend, and BOJ and BOE earlier today promising support have saw equity markets briefly stabilize after last week's dramatic moves. The G7 will hold a teleconference this week, but speculation of a coordinated rate move does not seem particularly likely. Most of the large stock markets in the Asia Pacific region rallied, led by a 3%+ advance in China.

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The currency to own during the virus outbreak

2020-02-28

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The endless drip of new worrisome cases led market participants to unload everything in one of the worst weeks ever in equities. It’s an understandable reaction to the extreme uncertainty from the coronavirus. However almost all wealth needs to be held in some currency or some place; we look at the places that stand to benefit now and as the virus unfolds. LET'S CONNECT! Facebook ► http://facebook.com/forexlive Twitter ►...

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The currency to own during the virus outbreak

2020-02-28

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The endless drip of new worrisome cases led market participants to unload everything in one of the worst weeks ever in equities. It’s an understandable reaction to the extreme uncertainty from the coronavirus. However almost all wealth needs to be held in some currency or some place; we look at the places that stand to …

Read More »

FX Daily, February 28: Fallout Accelerates

2020-02-28

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2020-02-28

Overview: The dramatic response by investors to Covid-19 continues unabated and worse. The slide is accelerating. The S&P 500 posted a 4.4% loss yesterday, its worst session since 2011, and the sell-off is continuing. Many markets in Asia Pacific, including Japan, China, Korea, Australia, India, Singapore, and Thailand, fell by more than 3%.

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FX Daily, February 27: The Rot Continues but Somewhat Less Dollar Friendly

2020-02-27

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2020-02-27

A new phase of the Covid-19 is at hand. Yesterday was the first time that the number of new cases in the world surpassed the number of new cases China acknowledged. This confirms what we have known, namely that the battle for containing it in China has been lost.

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